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iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF Newsroom
From the perspective of Fed Governor Waller, CPI indicates that inflation is moving in the wrong direction.
According to the so-called Waller rule, the breadth of inflation is increasing.
Annual review | The top ten explosive stocks in the US stock market for 2024 have been released! Applovin emerges as the dark horse of the year in AI, MSTR astonishes the market with a fivefold increase for the year, and Tesla makes a comeback in the last
As of the market close on December 11, the S&P 500 Index has risen by 27% year-to-date, surpassing 6,000 points; the Nasdaq Composite Index has accumulated a rise of over 33%, reaching a milestone of 0.02 million points, exceeding market expectations.
The Bonds market has fallen into a "guessing game": what is the Federal Reserve's interest rate anchor?
Due to the diversity in estimating the neutral interest rate, the market has a wide range of opinions regarding the outlook of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, and the bond market often experiences sharp fluctuations after each release of economic data. When this month's non-farm payroll report was released, the volatility of the two-year US Treasury yield was on average six times larger than before 2022.
U.S. stock market morning | The three major indexes weakened slightly, Adobe fell over 12% after earnings; popular China Concept Stocks rose against the trend, with MINISO up more than 5%.
On the evening of December 12, Peking time, US stocks opened mixed on Thursday. Adobe's Earnings Reports were disappointing, leading to a sharp decline in stock price. The number of people applying for unemployment benefits in the USA unexpectedly increased last week, and the PPI for November rose more than expected. The European Central Bank cut interest rates for the fourth time this year.
US stock market outlook | The three major futures indices show slight weakness, with both PPI and initial jobless claims data exceeding expectations; poor earnings guidance leads to Adobe dropping over 10% in pre-market trading.
Central Economic Work Conference: Implement more proactive and effective macro policies to expand domestic demand; not swayed by CPI, the U.S. bond market is more concerned with employment data; The Kroger rose more than 2.4% in pre-market trading and announced it would repurchase 7.5 billion dollars in stocks after the merger deal with Albertsons Companies fell through.
Daily Options tracking | Google surged for two consecutive days! The highest increase for call options was nearly 14 times; Tesla's stock price reached an all-time high, and Options trading continued to be explosive.
NVIDIA rose over 3%, with Options trading on that day reaching 3.1893 million contracts, and the proportion of Call Options has been increasing for several days, currently at 68.5%. Among these, the Call Options with a strike price of $140 expiring on December 13 had the highest Volume, with 0.269 million contracts traded.
The worst start to a new fiscal year! The budget deficit in the USA is soaring.
Government spending in the USA has surged, and Musk's government efficiency department is expected to accomplish great things, but any cuts to spending could provoke resistance...
US Stock Market Gold Mining | Five major Technology giants soar together! Tesla joins hands with Google, Amazon, and others to create historical highs; Broadcom jumps over 6%, partnering with Apple to produce AI Chips, the market focuses on tonight's perf
Unexpectedly turned a profit, GameStop's performance exceeded Wall Street expectations, soaring over 7% after the announcement; semiconductor materials and equipment company Astera reached a new high, with an increase of 240% since going public this year.
Three expected differences of Trump 2.0.
Source: Xue Tao Macro Notes Author: Tianfeng Macro Song Xuetao. The market's perception of Trump's second term has formed increasingly fragmented expectations in terms of policy implementation and specific policy impacts. Currently, the market universally expects better outcomes next year, which requires caution. In the first month after the election, from the unexpectedly strong cabinet selections to the sudden announcement of considering tariffs on Canada and Mexico, the uncertainty and complexity of Trump 2.0 are fully demonstrated. This increases the difficulty for the market to predict the implementation and impact of Trump 2.0 policies, creating some increasingly fragmented expectation gaps. The first type of expectation gap is contradictory policies leading to...
The Nasdaq is at 20,000 points! Besides US Treasury bonds, American investors are Buying everything.
After the release of USA's November CPI data on Wednesday, investors seem to have finally "confirmed" that the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut next week is a done deal; financial markets across asset classes on Wednesday also appeared quite uplifting; apart from the decline in USA Treasuries, investors are buying everything else - USA stocks are rising, Gold is rising, the dollar is rising, Crude Oil Product is rising, and Cryptos are rising...
Futu Morning Post | Pushing US Stocks to Reach New Highs? Trump will ring the opening bell for the NYSE on Thursday; star tech stocks hit new highs, and Bitcoin will rise to 0.1 million dollars
The AI transformation was bumpy, and Adobe's revenue outlook for 2025 fell below expectations, falling more than 8% after the market; Apple launched Siri integrated with ChatGPT, and it is reported that the iPhone SE 4 will be released around March next year.
NASDAQ reaches 20,000 point milestone! Tesla led a group of tech giants to reach new highs. Has the Christmas market started?
Historically, every year on the seven trading days after Christmas, that is, the five trading days at the end of the year and the first two trading days of the following year, investors tend to go long, and US stocks are likely to rise. This seven-day market is called the “Christmas market.” The data shows that in the past 70 years, the S&P 500 index has an 80% chance of rising in these seven trading days.
US inflation remains strong, US bond yields rise slightly
U.S. Treasuries failed to maintain the upward trend stimulated by moderate inflation data.
Wall Street interprets CPI: Without changing the “gradual easing” of the Federal Reserve, strong core inflation supports the suspension of interest rate cuts in January
Analysis suggests that the CPI, which meets expectations, demonstrates that the cooling of inflation has basically stagnated in recent months. While this is not enough to disrupt the year-end bull market in U.S. stocks, it also means that an interest rate cut next week is not guaranteed, especially with the potential inflation upward risks brought by Trump's tariffs and fiscal expansion next year drawing attention. The yield on 10-year U.S. Treasuries first fell and then rose.
IShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF Options Spot-On: On December 11th, 598.58K Contracts Were Traded, With 6.16 Million Open Interest
On December 11th ET, $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT.US)$ had active options trading, with a total trading volume of 598.58K options for the day, of which put options accounted for 39.21% of
Treasury Yields Rise as CPI Keeps Fed Cut on the Table -- Market Talk
Treasury Yields Recover as Fed Is Expected to Cut, Then Pause -- Market Talk
Wall Street Gains, Tech Rallies, Tesla Hits All-Time Highs As Inflation Data Firms Up Fed's Next Interest Rate Cut
The USA CPI is as expected; did the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut in December become stable?
The latest CPI report indicates that inflation is not worse than expected, and analysts believe this paves the way for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week.
US stock market forecast | November CPI data meets expectations, the three major futures indexes rise sharply; Quantum Computing concept stocks surge before the market, with Rigetti and Quantum both climbing over 10%.
Pre-market up over 1%, Tesla's sales in China for December usher in a "good start": first week sales of 0.0219 million Autos, Cybertruck has completed Energy consumption declaration in China; Google executive: Search AI is the biggest bet, with an expected investment of 50 billion in 2024.