This week, the biggest variables in US stocks, bonds, and bitcoin.
Before the Federal Reserve's December meeting, there is a potential "black swan". On December 6, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics announced that the November non-farm data slightly exceeded expectations. Analysts believe that the current environment of low interest rates, declining inflation, and increasing corporate profits in the United States may continue to drive the US stock market up at the end of the year. However, investors still need to closely monitor the November CPI released this Wednesday, which could be a "black swan" event that disrupts market expectations for a Fed rate cut in December. Analysts say that if the CPI shows that US inflation has not risen significantly, then there is a high likelihood of a rate cut in December. However, derivative pricing shows
The last chance for "Trump 2.0": A new round of global interest rate cuts will hit this week!
① The major central banks, including the Reserve Bank of australia, Bank of Canada, Central Bank of Brazil, European Central Bank, Swiss franc National Bank, Danish National Bank, and Central Bank of Peru, are distributed across four continents globally, all of which will announce their final interest rate decisions of the year this week. ② Among them, many central banks may be planning to reach for the "rate cut button" again before Trump takes office...
Futu Morning Post | Senior officials at the Federal Reserve support cautious rate cuts! Hawks directors say inflation progress seems to have stalled; S&P, Nasdaq hit new highs again, AI application stocks collectively surged, and Tesla has risen more than
A conclusion! The final version of the NDAA from both chambers of Congress did not include the biosecurity bill; at the Tesla investor meeting: new models will be launched in the first half of 2025, with an annual sales growth target of 20-30%, computing power will significantly enhance FSD, and there are no competitors for autonomous driving in Europe and the US; included in the s&p 500 index! apollo global management and Workday surged collectively after hours.
Real Estate Stocks Slump Despite Rising December Rate Cut Hopes
After the non-farm payroll report was released, the FOMC members stepped in to "manage expectations": the Federal Reserve is at or near a point of slowing down interest rate cuts.
In 2024, FOMC voting member Harker stated that the Federal Reserve is "at or near" the point of slowing down interest rate cuts; Federal Reserve hawkish official and board member Bowman, who has permanent voting rights during her term, indicated that progress on inflation seems to have stagnated and still believes that inflation is more concerning than the labor market.
Top 20 by transaction volume | Tesla rose by 5.34%, with its stock price increasing by over 60% since Trump's election; lululemon jumped nearly 16% after earnings, with comparable sales in the international market showing strong growth in Q3.
On Friday, Tesla topped the U.S. stock market with a trading volume of $29.872 billion, closing up 5.34%. In second place, nvidia fell 1.81%, with a trading volume of $26.306 billion. In third place, meta platforms closed up 2.44%, with a trading volume of $10.546 billion.
U.S. stock market close | On non-farm payroll day, the Nasdaq and s&p 500 both closed higher, with the market adjusting its bets on a moderate interest rate cut; growth tech stocks amazon and Meta continued to hit new highs, while Tesla surged over 5% to
In November, U.S. non-farm payrolls increased more than expected, but the unemployment rate edged up slightly. The market speculates on moderate rate cuts and several voting committee members support slowing down rate cuts next year.
IShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF Options Spot-On: On December 6th, 749.34K Contracts Were Traded, With 6.2 Million Open Interest
On December 6th ET, $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT.US)$ had active options trading, with a total trading volume of 749.34K options for the day, of which put options accounted for 47.87% of
Express News | In December, the preliminary value of the consumer confidence index from the University of Michigan in the usa was 74, exceeding expectations.
U.S. stock market this morning | The three major indices rose collectively, AI software stocks surged, asana increased by more than 36%; high-performing stocks skyrocketed, Lululemon rose by more than 17%, ulta beauty rose by more than 13%.
On the evening of the 6th in peking time, the US stock market opened high on Friday. The non-farm payroll data for November in the usa exceeded expectations, with the unemployment rate rising to 4.2% and the average hourly wage increase surpassing forecasts. This data strengthened the market's expectations for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December.
Economists warn: the conflict between Trump and the Federal Reserve will be inevitable.
During the campaign, Trump promised that he would lower borrowing costs, thereby reducing the economic burden on usa households.
usa's non-farm payrolls in November exceeded expectations, but the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut in December is still pending.
The usa added more non-farm jobs than expected, but the unemployment rate rose to 4.2%, and the average hourly wage growth was strong. The reasons for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in December still hold, and non-us mmf currencies are collectively rebounding......
Express News | Nick Timiraos, the "Fed's mouthpiece": In November, the six-month moving average of employment growth in the usa private sector slowed to 0.108 million, the lowest level for this cycle.
U.S. stock market outlook | November non-farm payroll data exceeded expectations, but interest rate cut bets suddenly surged! The three major U.S. stock index futures rose collectively; Tesla's stock price reached a new high and continued to rise more tha
Is the leader of retail investors in the U.S. stock market making a comeback? A single tweet has triggered a surge in multiple stocks; the "Trump trade" is booming, with investors pouring 140 billion dollars into U.S. stock funds in the past month.
Express News | US Nov. Non-Farm Payrolls +227000 Vs +200000 Forecast, Prior +36000; US Nov. Unemployment Rate 4.2% Vs 4.2% Forecast, Prior 4.1%
The limit on purchases for US Treasury qdii has been reopened, with the highest yield this year exceeding 12%, driven by two key factors.
① As of December 4, the highest-yielding US Treasury QDII has exceeded 12% this year; ② The results of the US election and the depreciation of the RMB are important factors in the recent increase in returns of US Treasury QDII.
The last non-farm night before the Federal Reserve's December decision! Is bad news good news?
Wall Street expects to add 0.22 million new jobs in November, much higher than the 0.012 million in October. Goldman Sachs stated that the negative impact of hurricanes and strikes has passed, as long as the non-farm employment data remains between 0.15 million and 0.2 million, the US stock market will react positively tonight, with the highest potential for the S&P 500 index to rise by 100 basis points.
Bull stocks of US stocks this week | Excellent stocks carnival! Chip maker marvell technology rose more than 22% during the week; Strong trend of AI application stocks, advertising company Applovin soared over 850% throughout the year.
This week, the dow jones industrial average has fallen by 0.32%, closing at 44,765.71 points; during the same period, the s&p 500 index has risen by 0.71%, closing at 6,075.11 points; the nasdaq index has increased by 2.51%, closing at 19,700.72 points.
Daily options tracking | A call option for Tesla earned up to 4 times! The stock price has reached a two-year high; Are meme stocks making a comeback? Gamestop's options volume surged 3.8 times, with multiple end date options making over 2 times profit.
nvidia saw two large transactions of over 10 million dollars in call options yesterday, totaling more than 57 million dollars.
Dr. Rubin, the doomsday doctor: Trump will lead the usa into stagflation.
Roubini believes that at least two policies will increase long-term inflation risks: one is to strictly limit immigration or even to carry out large-scale deportations of immigrants, and the second is tax reduction policies that lead to a vicious expansion of fiscal deficits, further disrupting and weakening the position of the dollar.