U.S. Stock Market Preview | The monetary policy again emphasizes "moderate easing"! China assets welcome a festive night; Wall Street's optimistic expectations increase, and the s&p 500 may reach 7,100 points next year.
Will us stocks rise at least 5% next year? Wall Street's major banks have released their year-end predictions: everyone is optimistic; nvidia is suspected of violating antitrust laws, and the market regulatory authority has decided to file a case for investigation, falling over 1% in pre-market trading; the UAE's "ai ambition" has received strong support, and the usa has approved microsoft to provide ai chips.
The market reluctantly accepts the employment data as U.S. Treasury yields rise.
On Monday (October 9), as investors continue to assess how the latest employment data will affect the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision next week, yields rose slightly.
7,100 points! Another Wall Street giant has updated the highest target price for the s&p 500 for next year.
① Oppenheimer Asset Management predicts that the s&p 500 index will rise to 7100 points by the end of 2025, an increase of about 17% from the latest closing price, marking the highest expected level on Wall Street; ② Oppenheimer's Chief Investment Strategist John Stoltzfus believes that the current bull market may have enough strength to climb the well-known 'wall of worry' by 2025.
Options hotspot review | Tesla rose nearly 13% last week! Call options are bullish up to 400 dollars; Wall Street traders are heavily betting on china assets etf, how did this trade go?
Last week, palantir's stock price rose nearly 14% to reach a new high. Last Friday, options volume surged to 1.38 million contracts, ranking third in individual stock options trading on the US market, with the most actively traded call options reaching 80 dollars.
Repeatedly breaking new highs and crushing short sellers, will the crazy rise of the US stock market stop?
Despite rising valuations and signs of excessive speculation intensifying concerns that the U.S. stock market may have needed a correction earlier, the persistent upward momentum shows almost no signs of slowing down as the year comes to an end.
How will the usa's subsequent interest rate cuts proceed? The key is this week's CPI.
Currently, Wall Street economists are predicting that the overall CPI in November will rise by 2.7% year-on-year, up from 2.6% in October. As of last Friday, the market expects an approximately 85% chance that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points on December 18.
US stock market opportunities | The AI application boom continues to heat up! amazon, Applovin, palantir and others all reached new highs; Tesla has increased by over 60% since the USA presidential election, with its stock price hitting a new high in two
The AI application boom continues to heat up! Stocks of Amazon, Applovin, Palantir, and others are hitting new highs! Brokerages are raising their Target Prices, Tesla surged over 5%, its stock price has reached a nearly two-year high, and it has accumulated a rise of over 60% since the USA elections.
This week, the biggest variables in US stocks, bonds, and bitcoin.
Before the Federal Reserve's December meeting, there is a potential "black swan". On December 6, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics announced that the November non-farm data slightly exceeded expectations. Analysts believe that the current environment of low interest rates, declining inflation, and increasing corporate profits in the United States may continue to drive the US stock market up at the end of the year. However, investors still need to closely monitor the November CPI released this Wednesday, which could be a "black swan" event that disrupts market expectations for a Fed rate cut in December. Analysts say that if the CPI shows that US inflation has not risen significantly, then there is a high likelihood of a rate cut in December. However, derivative pricing shows
The last chance for "Trump 2.0": A new round of global interest rate cuts will hit this week!
① The major central banks, including the Reserve Bank of australia, Bank of Canada, Central Bank of Brazil, European Central Bank, Swiss franc National Bank, Danish National Bank, and Central Bank of Peru, are distributed across four continents globally, all of which will announce their final interest rate decisions of the year this week. ② Among them, many central banks may be planning to reach for the "rate cut button" again before Trump takes office...
Futu Morning Post | Senior officials at the Federal Reserve support cautious rate cuts! Hawks directors say inflation progress seems to have stalled; S&P, Nasdaq hit new highs again, AI application stocks collectively surged, and Tesla has risen more than
A conclusion! The final version of the NDAA from both chambers of Congress did not include the biosecurity bill; at the Tesla investor meeting: new models will be launched in the first half of 2025, with an annual sales growth target of 20-30%, computing power will significantly enhance FSD, and there are no competitors for autonomous driving in Europe and the US; included in the s&p 500 index! apollo global management and Workday surged collectively after hours.
Real Estate Stocks Slump Despite Rising December Rate Cut Hopes
After the non-farm payroll report was released, the FOMC members stepped in to "manage expectations": the Federal Reserve is at or near a point of slowing down interest rate cuts.
In 2024, FOMC voting member Harker stated that the Federal Reserve is "at or near" the point of slowing down interest rate cuts; Federal Reserve hawkish official and board member Bowman, who has permanent voting rights during her term, indicated that progress on inflation seems to have stagnated and still believes that inflation is more concerning than the labor market.
Top 20 by transaction volume | Tesla rose by 5.34%, with its stock price increasing by over 60% since Trump's election; lululemon jumped nearly 16% after earnings, with comparable sales in the international market showing strong growth in Q3.
On Friday, Tesla topped the U.S. stock market with a trading volume of $29.872 billion, closing up 5.34%. In second place, nvidia fell 1.81%, with a trading volume of $26.306 billion. In third place, meta platforms closed up 2.44%, with a trading volume of $10.546 billion.
U.S. stock market close | On non-farm payroll day, the Nasdaq and s&p 500 both closed higher, with the market adjusting its bets on a moderate interest rate cut; growth tech stocks amazon and Meta continued to hit new highs, while Tesla surged over 5% to
In November, U.S. non-farm payrolls increased more than expected, but the unemployment rate edged up slightly. The market speculates on moderate rate cuts and several voting committee members support slowing down rate cuts next year.
IShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF Options Spot-On: On December 6th, 749.34K Contracts Were Traded, With 6.2 Million Open Interest
On December 6th ET, $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT.US)$ had active options trading, with a total trading volume of 749.34K options for the day, of which put options accounted for 47.87% of
Express News | In December, the preliminary value of the consumer confidence index from the University of Michigan in the usa was 74, exceeding expectations.
U.S. stock market this morning | The three major indices rose collectively, AI software stocks surged, asana increased by more than 36%; high-performing stocks skyrocketed, Lululemon rose by more than 17%, ulta beauty rose by more than 13%.
On the evening of the 6th in peking time, the US stock market opened high on Friday. The non-farm payroll data for November in the usa exceeded expectations, with the unemployment rate rising to 4.2% and the average hourly wage increase surpassing forecasts. This data strengthened the market's expectations for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December.
Economists warn: the conflict between Trump and the Federal Reserve will be inevitable.
During the campaign, Trump promised that he would lower borrowing costs, thereby reducing the economic burden on usa households.
usa's non-farm payrolls in November exceeded expectations, but the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut in December is still pending.
The usa added more non-farm jobs than expected, but the unemployment rate rose to 4.2%, and the average hourly wage growth was strong. The reasons for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in December still hold, and non-us mmf currencies are collectively rebounding......
Express News | Nick Timiraos, the "Fed's mouthpiece": In November, the six-month moving average of employment growth in the usa private sector slowed to 0.108 million, the lowest level for this cycle.