The limit on purchases for US Treasury qdii has been reopened, with the highest yield this year exceeding 12%, driven by two key factors.
① As of December 4, the highest-yielding US Treasury QDII has exceeded 12% this year; ② The results of the US election and the depreciation of the RMB are important factors in the recent increase in returns of US Treasury QDII.
The last non-farm night before the Federal Reserve's December decision! Is bad news good news?
Wall Street expects to add 0.22 million new jobs in November, much higher than the 0.012 million in October. Goldman Sachs stated that the negative impact of hurricanes and strikes has passed, as long as the non-farm employment data remains between 0.15 million and 0.2 million, the US stock market will react positively tonight, with the highest potential for the S&P 500 index to rise by 100 basis points.
Bull stocks of US stocks this week | Excellent stocks carnival! Chip maker marvell technology rose more than 22% during the week; Strong trend of AI application stocks, advertising company Applovin soared over 850% throughout the year.
This week, the dow jones industrial average has fallen by 0.32%, closing at 44,765.71 points; during the same period, the s&p 500 index has risen by 0.71%, closing at 6,075.11 points; the nasdaq index has increased by 2.51%, closing at 19,700.72 points.
Daily options tracking | A call option for Tesla earned up to 4 times! The stock price has reached a two-year high; Are meme stocks making a comeback? Gamestop's options volume surged 3.8 times, with multiple end date options making over 2 times profit.
nvidia saw two large transactions of over 10 million dollars in call options yesterday, totaling more than 57 million dollars.
Dr. Rubin, the doomsday doctor: Trump will lead the usa into stagflation.
Roubini believes that at least two policies will increase long-term inflation risks: one is to strictly limit immigration or even to carry out large-scale deportations of immigrants, and the second is tax reduction policies that lead to a vicious expansion of fiscal deficits, further disrupting and weakening the position of the dollar.
Can the Federal Reserve achieve a "third consecutive cut"? The first "big test" of the non-agricultural sector is here tonight!
In fact, due to the return of a large workforce after the hurricane and the strike, the non-farm data in November may appear even more "impressive" than usual.
Trump has repeatedly "provoked" the Federal Reserve, but Powell does not take the bait.
Powell has been too dismissive of Trump, and some analysts are concerned about whether the Federal Reserve chairman will continue to receive support after the latter takes office.
The usa stock, bond, and foreign exchange markets are all under pressure: no one dares to act rashly before the non-farm payrolls battle!
Before the key non-farm employment data from the usa is released this Friday, both the rise of US stocks and the dollar showed signs of stalling on Thursday, while the US bond market was also caught in a weak consolidation pattern; for a moment, it seemed that no one on Wall Street dared to take any rash actions.
Futu Morning Report | Non-farm data is arriving tonight! Goldman Sachs: This could determine whether there will be another rate cut in December; another major bank is optimistic! Wells Fargo raises its outlook for the S&P to 7007 points.
After hours, it surged over 8%! Lululemon's Q3 performance exceeded expectations; after accurately predicting that bitcoin would reach $100,000 this year, Standard Chartered's analyst is bullish again: predicting it will reach the significant milestone of $200,000 by the end of next year; OPEC+ has continued its three sets of production cut measures, extending the additional voluntary reduction of 2.2 million barrels per day for three months.
IShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF Options Spot-On: On December 5th, 483.36K Contracts Were Traded, With 6.03 Million Open Interest
On December 5th ET, $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT.US)$ had active options trading, with a total trading volume of 483.36K options for the day, of which put options accounted for 56.91% of
U.S. stock market early session | The three major indexes showed mixed results, with Tesla rising about 4%; cryptos concept stocks generally rose, with Coinbase up over 4%.
Peking time on the evening of the 5th, the US stock market opened on Thursday with mixed gains and losses. Bitcoin broke through $0.1 million for the first time, reaching a historic high, with the market betting on improvement in the USA virtual currency regulatory policies. The increase in initial jobless claims in the USA last week exceeded expectations.
Express News | US Weekly Initial Jobless Claims 224000 Vs 215000 Forecast, Prior 215000
U.S. stock market preview | Cryptos concept stocks are celebrating! MSTR is up over 8% in pre-market; blackrock advises further shareholding in U.S. stocks.
Taiwan Semiconductor is preparing to start producing Blackwell chips in Arizona early next year; xAI reportedly ordered $1.08 billion nvidia AI servers.
Survey: After Trump's victory, the optimism among executives of usa companies has significantly increased.
① Two surveys show that after Donald Trump won the presidential election, USA business executives' optimism about the economy and their own Business prospects significantly increased; ② Trump promised during his campaign to lower corporate taxes and reduce regulation, while threatening to impose tariffs on USA trading partners, a policy that could trigger inflation.
Sell Tesla stocks! The global "most bullish retail investor" is shifting focus, investing in short-term US government bonds.
After Tesla's increase of 38% in November, Tesla's "most outstanding retail investor" Leo KoGuan has recently publicly stated that he is selling Tesla stocks and investing the funds into short-term usa treasury bonds.
Powell 'repeats the old tune', while Woller has a 'clear attitude', understanding the attitudes of various Fed officials towards the rate cut in December.
Powell stated that the USA economy is currently in a good state, and it is expected that the FOMC will gradually lower interest rates to a neutral level; Bullard bluntly said, 'inclined to support rate cuts at the December meeting.' San Francisco Fed President Daly and Fed Governor Kuggel also stated that there is uncertainty in rate cuts.
Daily options tracking | The next AI "meme stock"? Marvell Technology surged 23%, and the doomsday call options made a 14-fold profit overnight; The call ratio for Nvidia options rose to 70.4%, with the market focusing on the next generation Blackwell.
The "large holder" microstrategy rose 8.72% yesterday, with two overnight orders for options exceeding 50 million dollars, and two more orders for call options exceeding 10 million dollars.
Goldman: December 25bp Rate Cut Expected, but Easing May Slow Sooner
Federal Reserve official Daly: There is no urgency for a rate cut!
San Francisco Federal Reserve President Daly stated that there is indeed a need to continue adjusting policies cautiously, but there is no sense of urgency. Previously, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell hinted that interest rate cuts could be made more gradually.
Bonds and gold make a strong comeback! Schroders' investment analysis on how to cope with the challenges of a highly valued stock market.
Schroder Investment believes that the investment market will have the conditions to achieve good returns in 2025, but the challenges it faces should not be underestimated. In this environment, adopting a diversified investment strategy across regions and asset classes will be a key factor in enhancing portfolio resilience and addressing future market uncertainties.