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iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF Newsroom
Wall Street awaits the Federal Reserve's 'hawkish rate cut': a pause in easing in January and possibly three cuts next year?
① The industry generally expects the Federal Reserve to stage a "hawkish rate cut" this week; ② While cutting rates by 25 basis points in December, Fed policymakers may be preparing to taper the easing trend in 2025 in response to the anticipated inflation rebound following the Trump administration's assumption of office.
Futu Morning Report | Goldman Sachs expects the Fed to "skip" interest rate cuts in January! Powell's speech may impact the market; Tesla surged over 6%, boosting the Nasdaq, and Quantum Concept stocks collectively exploded.
China's central bank has recently announced to appropriately reduce the reserve requirement ratio and interest rates. The State Council Meeting proposed to develop and strengthen long-term capital and patient capital; Bitcoin has surpassed 107,700 dollars, setting a new historical high, Ethereum has returned to 4,000 dollars, and most cryptocurrency concept stocks have risen.
IShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF Options Spot-On: On December 16th, 326.27K Contracts Were Traded, With 6.62 Million Open Interest
On December 16th ET, $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT.US)$ had active options trading, with a total trading volume of 326.27K options for the day, of which put options accounted for 33.17% of
SA Asks: Is the Fed More Focused on Inflation or Jobs?
U.S. stock market morning | The three major Indexes are collectively rising, Broadcom surged nearly 9%, Tesla and Google both hit historical highs; Cryptos Concept stocks are strongly rising, MARA climbed nearly 7%, Coinbase rose nearly 4%.
On the evening of the 16th in Beijing time, several central banks will hold meetings this week and a large amount of important economic data will be released. Investors will focus on the Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting in December.
Trump's new policy pressures Wall Street, leading to a pessimistic outlook—A major prediction for the dollar's trend in 2025.
Wall Street is starting to Put on the US dollar as the policies of President-elect Donald Trump and the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts may put pressure on the dollar in the second half of 2025.
Allianz Investment: It is expected that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points this week, leaning towards holding anti-inflation Bonds.
From a strategy perspective, Allianz Investment tends to trade duration technically, currently preferring to Hold short-term USA Bonds over the European Bonds market.
U.S. Stock Outlook | Three major futures indexes rose collectively, with Tesla pre-market up nearly 1%, poised to set a historical high at the open; Goldman Sachs: The Federal Reserve will "skip" a rate cut in January, and may signal a slowdown in easing
Super Micro Computer fell nearly 14% before the market and was removed from the NASDAQ 100 Index component; Broadcom continues to rise 3% before the market, as Bank of America raised the Target Price to $250.
Annual Outlook | 7100 points! Wall Street refreshes the Target Price for the S&P, is a bull market in US stocks continuing in 2025?
Overall, major banks are optimistic, with the highest target for the S&P reaching 7,100 points, while the average target point according to Bloomberg Statistics is 6,496.17 points, indicating more than a 7% upside potential from the current latest closing price; many bears have flipped their positions, and only two Institutions remain cautious about the direction of the U.S. stock market.
Wall Street tycoons shout: The FED's "triple cut" this week is not unexpected, but the easing cycle will pause here!
①This Thursday morning, the Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision, and Wall Street widely expects a 25 basis point rate cut, achieving a "three consecutive reductions." ②Krishna Guha, Vice Director of Evercore ISI, stated, "The December FOMC meeting will mark the end of the first phase of the Federal Reserve's rate cut cycle."
There are significant differences in policy viewpoints within Trump's cabinet. Will market pricing undergo major changes?
Investors should pay attention to the policy risks of Trump 2.0.
Daily Options Tracking | Entering the trillion-dollar Market Cap club! After Broadcom's earnings report, multiple call contracts earned over 10 times profit; is Bitcoin aiming for the $0.11 million mark? MSTR's implied volatility rose to 112% last Friday.
SoundHound AI rose over 23% on the previous trading day, with the Call ratio increasing to 71%, and the Options Chain volume increasing by 2.77 times to 0.525 million contracts. On the Options Chain, bulls are the market Block Orders, with the highest Call volume for this Friday's expiration at strike prices of $20 and $10, respectively 0.024 million and 18,000 contracts.
The "New Federal Reserve News Agency": After another rate cut this week, the Federal Reserve is ready to slow down or even stop cutting rates.
Nick Timiraos stated that one of the choices for the Federal Reserve this week is to cut interest rates by a quarter of a percentage point, and then strongly hint at slowing the pace of rate cuts using new economic forecasts. Facing differing opinions internally, Powell must balance policy adjustments.
The Bond Market Is Having a Tantrum. The Fed Isn't Worried. -- Barrons.com
What happened to the USA market? The Dow has fallen for seven consecutive days, and US Treasury bonds have declined for five straight days, yet Bitcoin keeps rising joyfully!
① As of Sunday, Bitcoin has risen for seven consecutive weeks, marking the longest upward trend since 2021; ② However, if you look at the traditional stock and bond markets, you may find that compared to the situation at the beginning of the election, the field of Cryptos like Bitcoin has gradually become a "beautiful landscape" recently; ③ The Dow has currently faced seven consecutive days of declines, while US Treasuries experienced five consecutive weeks of losses last week.
CITIC SEC: Current core inflation pressure in the USA is manageable, with a marginal recovery in the labor market. The yield on 10-year US Treasury bonds is expected to continue to fluctuate at high levels.
In the medium to long term, the central rate of the 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds may gradually rise.
Trump may become a "roadblock" against inflation! Economists have lowered their expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates.
Economists surveyed believe that Trump's policies will make it more difficult for the Federal Reserve to achieve its inflation targets, which may force it to extend the pause on interest rate cuts.
Futu Morning News | Ready for the "Federal Reserve Decision Day"! More than 20 central banks from various countries will hold meetings this week; the adjustment of Nasdaq 100 constituents will take effect next week! Palantir and MSTR have been included.
This week's highlights from the Federal Reserve: There's no doubt about a rate cut in December, but January remains uncertain; Tesla's stock rose over 4% to a new high, and reports indicate that Trump's team is seeking to abolish the requirement for accident reports for autonomous vehicles.
What kind of outcome will "irrational exuberance" combined with interest rate cuts bring?
As the Federal Reserve prepares to further ease monetary policy against a backdrop of relatively loose financial conditions, the fiscal policy in the USA remains highly expansive. The resulting turmoil in the Bonds market is beginning to extend to the stock market, with the Dow Jones setting a record for its longest consecutive decline in four years last week.
Super central bank week! China is about to announce multiple economic data for November, will the central bank soon lower the reserve requirement ratio?
More than 20 central banks, including the Federal Reserve, the Bank of England, and the Bank of Japan, will successively announce their interest rate decisions. In addition to the interest rate resolution in the USA, China's November economic data is also being closely monitored by the Capital Markets.