U.S. stock market preview | All three major index futures are rising! Goldman Sachs: Although the Federal Reserve is hawkish, Powell is more dovish, still expecting three rate cuts next year; NVIDIA Concept stock SoundHound AI soared 7% in pre-market trad
Cryptos concept stocks are strong in Pre-Market Trading, with Coinbase and MARA rising over 3%; Accenture's shares in Pre-Market Trading increased nearly 7%, with Q1 revenue for fiscal year 2025 growing 9% year-on-year; entering the defense Sector, Nukkleus surged nearly 37%, accumulating over 35 times in the last two Trading days.
Annual review | The "report card" for Global major asset classes is out! Bitcoin has surged 136% this year, leading the world, with strong performances from US stocks, China assets, and Japanese stocks.
In this spectacular year, which asset classes have been dominant globally? Which market symbols have underperformed? Let's review together!
UBS Group warns: the risk of a bubble in Stocks and Assets is increasing, and it is advised to allocate Gold.
UBS Group Global Equity strategists point out that six of the seven preconditions for forming a bubble have already appeared, with the remaining one being loose MMF policy, as the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut on Thursday pushes the market further in this direction.
Daily Options Tracking | Musk is being investigated by the U.S. military! Tesla's Put ratio has risen to 39%; Micron fell over 14% before the market opened, with yesterday's options trading being very active, and many Put options earning over double.
The Federal Reserve breaks the bullish sentiment! The new member of the trillion Market Cap club, Broadcom, dropped nearly 7% yesterday, with Options Volume continuing to decline to 0.578 million contracts, and the Put ratio is 35%. On the Options Chain, the bullish forces are strong. The highest Call volumes for contracts expiring this Friday at $260, $250, $240, and $235 are 0.022 million, 0.019 million, 0.016 million, and 16,000 contracts respectively.
Express News | Citi: US bond yields often rise when the Federal Reserve skips or pauses interest rate adjustments.
The degree of change is shocking! The Federal Reserve may have entered a "new phase."
Some economists believe that the "culprit" behind the global financial market crash on Thursday may still be Trump...
Goldman Sachs: Although the Federal Reserve is hawkish, Powell is more dovish and still expects three interest rate cuts next year.
Goldman Sachs believes that Powell leaned dovish at the press conference, mentioning four times that Federal Reserve policy remains "significantly restrictive" and disagreeing with the view that the federal funds rate is close to neutral. Goldman Sachs expects rate cuts in March, June, and September next year, but it should be noted that the cut in March requires better inflation data or worse employment data to support it.
Morgan Stanley: The results of the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting and forward guidance are more hawkish than expected.
According to the committee's median, it is currently only expected that there will be two rate cuts in 2025, two rate cuts in 2026, and one rate cut in 2027.
Pryce: It is expected that medium to long-term USA treasury yields will rise, and the yield curve will become steeper.
With the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts setting a lower limit for short-term yields, it is still expected that medium- and long-term Treasury yields will rise, leading to a steeper yield curve.
Is the direction of the stock market about to change? UBS Group suggests selling cyclical stocks and shifting to growth defensive stocks.
The UBS Group's Stocks strategy team recommends that Global investors reduce their shareholding in cyclical Stocks and suggests focusing on defensive Stocks with growth in performance.
New Federal Reserve News Agency: Has the era of ultra-low interest rates ended?
How far is the USA from the neutral interest rate? This will be the core issue determining the future direction of the Federal Reserve's policies. According to Nick Timiraos' latest article, some analysts believe that if officials conclude that the neutral interest rate has risen, the Federal Reserve may pause interest rate cuts for a considerable period.
The Federal Reserve creates a "tragedy" in the market! Traders rush to exit, how do Wall Street experts interpret this?
Powell suddenly changes his stance, investors can only clean up the mess. Under the "new phase" of MMF policy, what should be done next?
Huachuang Securities: The Federal Reserve signals a pause in interest rate cuts, Emerging Markets MMF and CSI Commodity Equity Index have room for further decline.
In the December interest rate meeting, the Federal Reserve announced a rate cut of 25 basis points, and the overnight reverse repo rate was lowered by 5 basis points. The latest dot plot indicates that the Federal Reserve may cut rates twice in 2025.
The risk aversion sentiment on Wall Street has surged! What kind of "poison" has the Federal Reserve cast into the market?
① Apart from the US dollar, everything in sight—US stocks, US bonds, Gold, and Bitcoin all plummeted yesterday; ② This "indiscriminate" sell-off in the market reflects investors' extreme fear of the Federal Reserve's decision last night.
Believe in the Santa Claus rally! Five reasons will support the rebound of the US stock market by the end of the year.
There is one week left until Santa Claus' market phenomenon; despite the weak performance of the US stock market so far in December, there are five main reasons supporting a year-end rebound.
CITIC SEC: The narrative around the US debt drives Gold, and further expansion of US fiscal policy is still needed; long-term allocation opportunities still exist.
From the perspective of the medium to long-term narrative, the USA's "fiscal stability" style in 2025 may not necessarily drive Gold prices further upward, and attention should still be paid to the scale of fiscal expansion.
Trump suddenly made surprising statements! The USA government might "shut down" this week?
Former President Trump stated on Wednesday that he opposes a proposed funding bill, increasing the likelihood of a government shutdown later this week. According to a source familiar with Trump's thoughts, he is against the continuing resolution proposed by House Speaker Johnson. The source, who requested anonymity, confirmed that Trump told a Fox News host that he is "totally against" the proposed short-term spending bill.
Federal Reserve: More hawkish than "hawkish rate cuts".
CITIC SEC stated that the adjustment of inflation in this SEP is significantly greater than the adjustment of economic growth, indicating the Federal Reserve's concerns about inflation. This monetary policy meeting is much more hawkish than the market generally expected. It is anticipated that the Federal Reserve will likely pause interest rate cuts at the next meeting to observe, and clearer guidance may not be provided until the meeting in March. Volatility in the U.S. stock market is expected to increase.
"Minister Ma" takes the lead in bombarding, Trump and Vance echo each other, is the first battle of DOGE going to lead to the government shutdown in the USA?
Due to the public opposition from Musk and Trump, it has become uncertain whether the temporary bill to avoid a government shutdown can pass before this Friday. This public struggle surrounding the temporary bill is also an early test of Musk's political power and that of DOGE, which he leads.
The Federal Reserve's "expectations management" severely impacts rate cut expectations, with US Treasury yields and the dollar entering a "bull run mode."
The Federal Reserve gives traders reason to expect only one rate cut in 2025, yields on U.S. Treasury bonds soar violently across all maturities, and the USD rises to its highest point since 2022.