Is it really heading towards 5? The yield on 30-year U.S. Treasury bonds has reached 4.86%, setting a new high in over a year.
At the beginning of the new year, while market participants are speculating how many times the Federal Reserve can lower interest rates, a scene that worries many cross-asset market traders is still "playing out"; the yield on long-term USA bonds has not stopped its march towards 5.
Trump stirs the market, the dollar finally falls, but U.S. long-term bond yields hit a 14-month high.
Due to reports that Trump's tariff policy was not as strong as expected, the dollar temporarily fell by 1%, but after Trump refuted the claims, it recovered nearly half of its losses. The US bond market began to price in the possibility of Trump continuing to disrupt the financial markets, with the yield on the 30-year US Treasury bond rising by 5 basis points to 4.86% during the session, reaching the highest level since November 2023.
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This week, the total amount of US government bonds issued reached 119 billion USD, raising doubts in the market regarding demand.
By this Wednesday, the USA government plans to issue a total of 119 billion dollars in government bonds.
IShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF Options Spot-On: On January 6th, 561.68K Contracts Were Traded, With 5.41 Million Open Interest
On January 6th ET, $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT.US)$ had active options trading, with a total trading volume of 561.68K options for the day, of which put options accounted for 33.95% of
Treasury Yields Mixed as U.S. Labor Is Expected to Cool Slowly -- Market Talk
A Federal Reserve official stated: future rate cuts need to be cautious!
Cook believes that the interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve so far have significantly reduced the restrictiveness of the MMF policy.
U.S. stock market morning | The three major indexes collectively rose, with the S&P and Nasdaq both increasing by over 1%; AI Concept stocks surged, with Super Micro Computer rising over 11% and Micron increasing by more than 10%.
On the evening of June 6th, Peking time, U.S. stocks opened higher on Monday. Media reports indicated that Trump would narrow the scope of the import tax, but Trump stated that the report was false. After Fujifilm Holdings Corporation Unsponsored ADR announced its Earnings Reports, the chip Sector surged, driving up Technology stocks. The U.S. 30-Year Treasury Bonds Yield rose to its highest level since 2023.
US30Y Hits Highest Point in 14 Months as Wall Street Reassesses Inflation and Rate Decisions
The 30-year U.S. Treasury yield has risen to a 14-month high, as the market awaits this week's $114 billion Treasury auction.
Before the auction of 58 billion dollars in 3-year Treasury bonds on Monday, the yield on 30-year U.S. Treasury bonds briefly rose to 4.85%. Analysts believe that the demand for U.S. Treasuries will continue to be influenced by economic conditions, geopolitical factors, and risk sentiment, which may result in higher market volatility throughout the year. Since early December last year, this sensitivity has pushed the yield on 10-year U.S. Treasuries up by about 50 basis points.
The market is on the verge of collapse, U.S. Treasury long-term yields have reached new highs, and the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance has led to upward pressure on interest rates.
The yield on 30-year Bonds in the USA has risen to its highest level since the end of 2023, due to the instability in the USA Treasury market, and this week will see the issuance of 119 billion dollars in new government debt.
U.S. Stock Market Outlook | The three major Futures indices are rising, with Nasdaq Futures up over 1%. AI chip stocks and Robot Concept are strong in pre-market trading, Taiwan Semiconductor is up nearly 5% hitting a new high, and KITT surged over 60%.
Goldman Sachs: Currently expected that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 75 basis points this year, lower than the previously expected 100 basis points; Trump 2.0 raises inflation concerns, traders are Bearish on this year's USA bond market outlook; two Federal Reserve officials have expressed hawkish views: the fight against inflation has not yet achieved victory.
Concerns arise over more than a trillion dollars in U.S. debt to be issued, as the yield on 30-year Treasury bonds surges to a 14-month high.
Due to the tense and anxious bond market preparing for the issuance of new government bonds worth 119 billion dollars this week, the U.S. 30-Year Treasury Bonds Yield has risen to its highest level since the end of 2023.
Will it rise further? The "Global Assets Pricing Anchor" may need to increase to 5%.
Investors are currently unwilling to bet on a rebound in the bond market...
Will Trump's policies trigger inflation in the USA? Former FED Chairman Bernanke: The impact is limited.
① Investors are concerned that Trump's proposed policies will ignite inflation in the USA and disrupt the Federal Reserve's interest rate-cutting process; ② In the view of former Federal Reserve Chairman Bernanke, Trump's policies will not lead to a fundamental change in inflation in the USA.
Trump is about to make an appearance! Global central banks must also be cautious about interest rate cuts in 2025.
Global central bank governors expect to lower interest rates further in 2025, but will act cautiously and closely monitor the policies of the incoming USA President Donald Trump.
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