This time is different! Trump is driving the US dollar to continue strengthening!
Since the election, the US dollar has continued to strengthen, and today, after Trump's inauguration, the second phase of the dollar's strength will officially begin.
Trump's inauguration ceremony is being held today: a large number of executive orders are imminent! TikTok shuts down and then restarts.
Trump's inauguration will be held on Monday (January 20). Investors will closely monitor the executive orders signed by Trump after taking office, especially those related to tariffs and corporate policies. These orders may influence the stock market trends in the near future.
Daily Options Tracking | Acquisition rumors resurge! Intel rises over 9%, with two Call orders making ten times profit; MSTR Options trading is booming, with the Call ratio skyrocketing to 71%.
Rumors of acquisition have resurfaced, and Intel rose over 9% last Friday. The Options Volume surged to 0.973 million contracts, nearly tripling from the previous day, with a Call percentage of 73.7% and an implied volatility level of 77.3%.
The key to the stock market's rise and fall: the mystery of Bonds yields and the shockwave from Trump's return.
The rapid rise in Bonds yields has made the stock market extremely precarious, especially with Trump's imminent return to the White House, further amplifying market uncertainty.
The slogan finally arrives at its moment of fulfillment! Is the "Trump Trade" at a new crossroads?
① From the "beautiful aspirations" before the election to the "wanton revelry" after the election, Trump's Trade has gone through two phases over the past six months; ② Now, this Trade's "third phase" may be the most turbulent journey that is about to unfold: with Trump's official inauguration, all of the campaign slogans from last year's USA election winner will soon come to fruition...
Daily Investment Bank/Institution Opinions Overview (2025-01-20)
Citigroup research strategists pointed out in a report that the Bonds market shows greater sensitivity to inflation, with recent risks stemming from Trump's first actions taken after his inauguration as president.
Morgan Stanley's Wilson: Interest rates and the dollar remain the biggest driving forces behind U.S. stocks.
Wilson stated that the strengthening of the dollar has a significant impact on individual stocks, and companies with lower overseas sales exposure and lower sensitivity to the strengthening dollar have started to outperform. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield range of 4.00%-4.50% is the most comfortable range for U.S. stocks, and once the yield falls to this range, the stock market will rebound significantly.
Opinion poll: The most important task for Trump during his new term.
Polls show the issues that Americans are most concerned about, which Trump may prioritize addressing after taking office.
USA stock prices have soared compared to Global levels, be cautious of adjustment risks.
The stock prices and earnings performance in the USA are both better than the Global average, although there is earnings support, the stock prices have surged leading to a valuation premium.
The most accurate Analyst on Wall Street: The sharp decline in U.S. bonds has ended because Trump cannot "tolerate debt and deficits."
Hartnett believes that Trump's pursuit of a "small government" indicates that U.S. Treasury yields will reach a "double top," meaning that the bond yield will not rise further beyond 5%, and recommends that investors increase their allocation to longer-duration Bonds and interest rate-sensitive Assets.
On the first day of his presidency, Trump may sign over 100 executive orders, which will shake up the financial markets.
① On the day Trump takes office, USA policy will undergo a major transformation, which may have widespread and profound effects on subsequent financial markets; ② The outside world expects him to sign at least 100 executive orders involving multiple areas of market concern.
This week focuses on Trump's inauguration! Will "Trump Coin" lead the way, and will more policies create huge waves in the market?
This week, Trump's inauguration will become the focus of the market.
Is "Tariff 2.0" from Trump approaching? Wall Street: The risks have decreased, no need to worry too much!
① The president-elect of the USA will take the oath of office on January 20, and his tariff policy is receiving much attention; ② Analysts at Goldman Sachs believe the White House will avoid the economic costs and political risks associated with widespread tariffs, while Bank of America also believes that companies have learned lessons from the previous trade war, and the risks have decreased.
Trump sends heavy news! Trump will do these "big things" a few days before taking office, hoping to "deter opponents."
The Financial Times of the United Kingdom reported that Trump and his senior advisers are finalizing around 100 executive orders, which he will sign in the first few days after taking office on Monday. Trump's initial measures will include restricting immigration, raising tariffs, and relaxing regulations across various sectors, from Energy to Cryptos.
What did Trump say at his last rally before taking office regarding restoring TikTok Operation and rescinding Biden's executive order?
Trump celebrated victory at a rally and spoke on issues such as illegal immigration, TikTok, AI, and Energy. Trump also stated that he would revoke all executive orders issued by Biden.
Futu Morning News | The leaders of China and the United States spoke on the phone! Call bets on China Assets have surged again; Trump is about to officially take office and will revoke all of Biden's executive orders.
The USA FTC approved Chevron's acquisition of Hess Corp for 53 billion dollars; the Federal Trade Commission of the USA expressed antitrust concerns regarding Microsoft and OpenAI's partnership; TikTok has resumed its services in the USA.
January 20, 2025, Gold Ten Futures Breakfast (Monday)
The China Securities Regulatory Commission has drafted the "Regulations on the Management of Program Trading in the Futures Market (Trial) (Draft for Comments)" and is now soliciting opinions from the public. The "Management Regulations" focus on the main line of strong supervision, risk prevention, and promoting high-quality development, strengthening the whole process supervision of program trading in the futures market.
One Week Preview | The USA presidential inauguration is approaching! The Trump 2.0 era will officially begin; Netflix's earnings will be released with great significance early Wednesday morning.
The World Economic Forum Annual Meeting 2025 will be held from January 20 to 24 in Davos-Klosters, Switzerland, with Trump expected to give a speech on Thursday (23rd); the Bank of Japan will announce its latest interest rate decision next Friday.
Stock Market's Roller-coaster Transition Into 2025 Reflects Volatile Interest Rates - Goldman Sachs
Weekly Outlook: The Trump 2.0 era is about to be unveiled, will the Gold bulls finally get what they wish for?
Global attention! Trump may make a scene, can the Bank of Japan act with "hawkishness" this time? The PMI data from the US, Europe, and the UK is coming, which may add downward pressure on the Euro and British Pound; the US stock market gains another layer of "protection"...