US Stock Outlook | "ADP Employment Report" falls short of expectations! The three major futures indices show slight gains; boosted by AMD's bullish investment, AI startup ABSI rises over 40% in pre-market trading.
According to informed sources, Trump is considering declaring a national economic emergency to launch a new tariff plan; Federal Reserve Governor Waller: supports further interest rate cuts this year; Federal Reserve's Bostic: inflation will gradually decline, policymakers should remain cautious in their decision-making.
US10Y Soars About 100 Bps Since Fed Rate Cuts, Signaling a Diverging Inflation Outlook
What would it mean for the market if the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield surpasses 5%?
Bank of America believes that if U.S. Treasury yields exceed 5%, investors may reassess the valuation of risk Assets, putting pressure on the stock market.
Initial claims for unemployment benefits have dropped to the lowest level in 11 months! The market is starting to bet that the Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates in 2025.
Last week, the number of first-time applicants for unemployment benefits in the USA unexpectedly decreased, reaching the lowest level in 11 months, indicating that the labor market in the USA remains resilient as of early 2025.
Fed's "hot" committee member Waller: Inflation is declining, supporting further interest rate cuts.
On Wednesday, Fed "super voter" and long-time FOMC voting member, Fed Governor Waller stated that he believes inflation will continue moving towards the central...
U.S. stock market early session | All three major Indexes fell, most Growth Tech stocks weakened, NVIDIA and Microsoft rose nearly 1% against the trend, while AMD dropped over 4%.
On the evening of the 8th in Peking time, US stocks opened lower on Wednesday. Concerns regarding the interest rate cut path led to a decline in US stocks yesterday, and the market is focusing on the Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting minutes in December. The December ADP private employment data in the USA was below market expectations. The President-elect Trump is considering declaring a national economic emergency to promote new tariff policies.
Are they going to detonate a tariff nuclear bomb again? It is said that the Trump team is considering declaring a national economic emergency.
The Trump team has not made a final decision on whether to declare a national emergency and is still exploring other legal avenues to support the tariff policy.
Will the Federal Reserve's meeting minutes release tonight continue to signal a "hawkish" stance?
This meeting summary focuses on the level of disagreement among Federal Reserve officials regarding the persistence of inflation and the degree of weakness in the labor market, as well as discussions about the neutral interest rate rising to a higher level.
Trump is considering declaring a national economic emergency to pave the way for the tariff plan.
In 2019, Trump used this trick to threaten Mexico with tariffs, and his advisors were also exploring other legal avenues to support the tariffs.
The three major U.S. stock index futures all turned to decline amid rumors of tariffs from Trump affecting risk appetite | Highlights for tonight.
① It is reported that Trump is considering declaring a national economic emergency to introduce tariffs; ② NASDAQ 100 Index futures dropped over 0.5% in pre-market trading; ③ Meta ended its fact-checking program to extend an olive branch to Trump; ④ The Indonesian government warned that if Apple does not comply with local investment regulations, it may face "sanctions" in the worst-case scenario.
Pre-Market Trading Key Points | Is Trump's tariff plan changing? The December "small non-farm" data will be announced soon.
The three major Equity Index futures in the USA all dropped, with Nasdaq futures down 0.6%, S&P 500 Index futures down 0.45%, and Dow futures down 0.29%.
The surge in the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield is causing "pain" in the market, with U.S. stocks facing further downside risk.
As the 10-year US Treasury yield approaches levels that have caused significant pain in the stock market in recent years, there is still room for further declines in the US stock market.
Is the moment to buy at the bottom coming? Citigroup: The rise of U.S. Treasury yields to 5% will bring a good opportunity to Buy.
The rebound in yields will certainly be a bit painful, but in a sense, it can also be seen as a gift - there is still a large amount of Cash in a wait-and-see state.
U.S. Stock Market Gold Rush | Riding the NVIDIA Wave! Autonomous driving company AUR's stock price surged nearly 30% overnight; concerns over gas shortages arise again in Europe, with several Oil & Gas stocks reaching new highs for the year.
The Bird Flu virus is rampant, and the USA reports the first death case! Vaccine manufacturer Moderna surged by 11% upon hearing the news; bullish factors are stacking up! Xiaopeng Autos rose over 9% overnight, and the stock price has increased for three consecutive days.
Daily Options Tracking | NVIDIA fell 6% after the CES press conference! A large investor bought Call options worth 12.62 million dollars, bullish against the trend; trading volume of options on China Large Cap stock ETFs surged, with a concentration of op
Bitcoin has fallen to $97,000, with "whale" MSTR dropping nearly 10%, and several Put Options with strike prices around $340 have more than doubled overnight this Friday.
Nomura's Global Macro Research Director: The Federal Reserve will only cut interest rates once in 2025, and it is even possible that there may be a rate increase?
Is the interest rate cut no longer happening.
Fed Meeting Minutes to Shed Light on Rate-Cut Path in 2025
Bulls beware: The stormy bloodbath in the US Treasury is not completely over.
Deutsche Bank's strategists believe that the US Treasury bond bulls will face more pain in the future, but all of this will soon come to an end.
The chief economist of Apollo warns: the surge in U.S. bond yields may trigger an "Elizabeth Truss moment."
The chief economist at Apollo stated, "The long periods of high interest rates have many consequences, reminding us of the situation in 2022 when Bonds yields rose and Stocks fell."
The 10-year U.S. Treasury auction has a massive failure, and the yield may soar to 5% before Trump's inauguration.
The sell-off of U.S. Treasuries is accelerating, with the winning bid yield in the 10-year Treasury auction reaching a new high since August 2007. With Trump's inauguration approaching, Options indicate that this yield could soar to 5%.