Minister Ma candidly stated that reducing federal spending by 2 trillion is an overly idealistic goal.
① Musk stated that the proposed "Department of Government Efficiency" in the USA may not be able to achieve its preset highest goal of cutting federal government spending by 2 trillion dollars; ② Musk emphasized in an exclusive interview that this is not an admission of failure in advance, and he can still help Trump achieve "epic results."
Fed's Harker: Fed Still on Rate-cut Path, Future Moves Driven by Data
The Federal Reserve shifts to "market-based" inflation Indicators, adding optimistic grounds for the economic outlook.
Including Chairman Jerome Powell, senior officials of the Federal Reserve are increasingly relying on a lesser-known price indicator - "market-based" inflation, as a basis for their optimistic economic outlook.
USA officials expect that negotiations between Russia and Ukraine may begin early this year!
On the eve of leaving office, the Biden administration released another 0.5 billion USD in aid to Ukraine, to increase Ukraine's "potential bargaining chips."
Danger! U.S. Treasury yields are approaching the critical level of 5%, and a new wave of stock market sell-off may be coming.
The yield on U.S. Treasury bonds is rapidly rising to its highest level since October 2023, approaching a critical threshold that has historically triggered stock market sell-offs, causing panic in the market.
The deep recession alert has been sounded! USA credit card debt unexpectedly plummets.
In November, USA consumer credit decreased significantly by 7.5 billion dollars, with unpaid credit card and other revolving debt balances plummeting by 13.8 billion dollars, marking the largest monthly drop since the economic shutdown triggered by the COVID-19 pandemic. Analysis suggests that whenever there is such a sharp decline in revolving credit, the USA economy is often on the brink of recession or already in recession.
Federal Reserve's Collins: The number of interest rate cuts in 2025 will be lower than previously expected.
Due to strong employment data and persistent inflation, Boston Federal Reserve President Collins is inclined to expect smaller rate cuts in 2025 than previously anticipated a few months ago.
The bond market is making a scene, and US stocks may be in for a tough time.
The stock market may once again shift to a "good news is bad news" pattern......
AI has triggered a wave of layoffs on Wall Street! The number of unemployed individuals in the next three years may exceed 200,000.
The report indicated that in the next 3 to 5 years, due to AI 'encroaching' on human jobs, Global Banks will lay off up to 200,000 people, with backend, mid-office, and Operation positions facing the highest risks. At the same time, 80% of respondents expect that generative AI will increase productivity and income by at least 5% during this period.
US Stock Digging for Gold | Meta Makes Concessions Under EU Antitrust! eBay Soars Nearly 10% Overnight; Henry Hub Natural Gas Stocks Make a Comeback in the New Year! Stocks like EQT Corp Continue to Rise.
Milestone development! Streaming company Roku revealed that in the first week of 2025, it gained 90 million household users, and the stock price has risen over 11% within five trading days this year.
The US stock market is closed today, and US Treasury bonds closed early.
Glory Exchange, January 9 | In mourning for the late former President Carter, the US stock market will be closed for one day on January 9 (Thursday). The Equity Index Trading under CME will end early at 22:30 Beijing time; Interest rates and Shenzhen Agricultural Products Group futures trading will end early at 02:15 on the 10th; Treasury futures trading will end early at 03:30 on the 10th; Precious Metals, Energy, Forex, and Cryptos futures trading will proceed as usual, please be aware.
Should Stock Investors Be Afraid of Rising Treasury Yields?
Fed Signals Delayed Rate Cuts as Inflation Concerns Linger, Goldman Sachs Says
The "Trump tariffs" are imminent! Bank of America: The FED has likely completed the "final rate cut."
① According to the latest forecast from Bank of America, if the Trump administration implements aggressive tariff policies, the Federal Reserve will delay interest rate cuts this year; ② The bank pointed out that signs of sticky inflation are increasing, and considering the timing of the Trump administration's arrival, the Federal Reserve may have already completed the "last cut" of this round of interest rate cuts in December.
Daily Options Tracking | Quantum Computing stocks RGTI and IONQ experienced massive fluctuations! The highest put option made a profit of 177 times; NVIDIA basically closed flat overnight, and Call options were again snatched up.
NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang's remarks led to a significant pullback in Quantum Computing concept stocks, with a surge in Volume for RGTI and IONQ Options, and multiple put options making substantial profits.
Term Premium on U.S. Treasurys Might Continue to Rise -- Market Talk
Krugman: Is the crazy nature of U.S. debt due to the market believing that Trump will go insane?
Krugman proposed that the rise in long-term interest rates, such as the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield, may reflect a terrifying, quietly spreading doubt that Trump actually believes the crazy things he says about economic policy and might put them into practice.
The Global bond market is experiencing a frantic sell-off, with US Treasury yields quickly approaching 5%.
The 20-year US Treasury yield has already broken through 5%, while the UK 10-Year Treasury Notes Yield has also risen to 4.82%, reaching a new high since 2008. Inflation worries have prompted traders to lower their expectations for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England this year, and at the same time, the market is weighing the impact of President Trump's policies.
The last time the US bonds dropped like this, the US stock market also crashed.
Recently, the rise of the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield is similar to the situation in 2022 and 2023, when the stock market experienced a substantial decline. Goldman Sachs stated that although the U.S. stock market is relatively stable now, the correlation between stock and bond yields has turned negative. If economic data falls short of expectations, the risk of a market correction in the short term may increase.
Futu Daily Report | Will the Federal Reserve pause interest rate cuts? Meeting minutes show officials are eager to slow down the pace of rate cuts; U.S. stocks are closed today in mourning for the death of former President Carter's.
The Trump team is reportedly considering declaring a national economic emergency to implement high and widespread tariffs; Bearish surprise! A single remark from NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang triggered a collective drop in USA quantum computing stocks.