Daily Options Tracking | Is the "Trump Trade" making a comeback? DJT made a 24-fold profit on a call option; NVIDIA Options trading is experiencing a tug-of-war, with a large investor purchasing nearly 20 million dollars in long-term call options.
Quantum computing stock RGTI dropped over 32% in the previous trading day, with Options Chain Volume slightly rising to 0.37 million contracts, implied volatility soaring to 211%, and the Put ratio at 52.8%. On the Options Chain, the bearish position is the market Block Orders, with the highest volume for the put option set to expire this Friday at a strike price of $6, totaling 0.014 million contracts, and an open interest of 3,700 contracts.
What is the impact of Trump's "gradual" tariff plan on inflation? UBS Group: The Federal Reserve will be in a tricky situation.
Dr. Arend Kapteyn, an executive at UBS Group, stated that Trump's gradual tariff plan will pose challenges for the Federal Reserve as it struggles against inflation; He pointed out that rolling tariffs could lead to a significant rise in peak inflation, making it more difficult for the central bank to respond; Currently, investors are eagerly awaiting the USA's inflation data, which will indicate whether the Federal Reserve will slow its pace of interest rate cuts this year.
The bear market for U.S. bonds has entered its sixth year!
The U.S. Bonds are about to enter the sixth year of the third major bear market of the past 240 years, with the previous two bear markets lasting 21 years and 35 years respectively, and this bear market market cycle may be shorter.
Higher-Than-Expected U.S. CPI Could Add Next Leg to Bond-Market Selloff -- Market Talk
The CPI "appetizer" is here! The leading Indicator PPI will be announced tonight.
The market focus has shifted to inflation data, but strong non-farm payrolls may strengthen the market's ability to withstand high inflation. How will Gold respond?
Optimism Out of the Window?
What is the likelihood of the USA declaring a national emergency and imposing tariffs?
CITIC SEC believes that Trump may threaten other countries by declaring a national emergency to push the USA towards achieving its political goals, but the probability of this initiative being implemented is relatively low.
It is 2025, and this is the Federal Reserve's latest "hawk-dove distribution", showing significant internal divergence.
According to the updated "dove-hawk distribution" chart, the policy inclination of the voting committee in 2025 is similar to that in 2024, with an average score close to neutral policy. However, in 2025, the score differences among committee members are greater than last year. Analysis suggests that this significant divergence in policy inclination may lead to more disagreements within the 2025 committee, especially in light of the changes in trade and immigration policies following Trump's administration, which could have a major impact on the USA supply chain.
Futu Morning Report | Major new regulations impact AI Chip stocks! NVIDIA and Oracle strongly oppose; Is there a bet that the yield has peaked? Call Bid in U.S. Treasury ETF surges.
Media: NVIDIA's Blackwell chip rack has encountered issues, leading major customers like Microsoft to reduce some Orders; Trump's advisers have proposed a new tariff idea: use the Emergency Economic Powers Act to increase rates by 2-5% monthly; the new US Treasury Secretary's Hold Positions include the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Bitcoin.
Breaking news about Trump! Bloomberg exclusively reveals Trump's team's new tariff proposal.
According to exclusive reports from Bloomberg, members of the economic team of USA President-elect Trump, who is set to take office, are discussing a gradual monthly increase in tariffs to enhance negotiating leverage while helping to avoid soaring inflation. One of the ideas being considered is to develop a progressive tariff schedule that would raise tariffs by about 2% to 5% each month. This plan would also require reliance on the executive powers granted by the International Emergency Economic Powers Act.
Options trading investors are "buying the dip" in the U.S. Treasury market, betting that yields have peaked.
As the volatility in the USA bond market intensifies, some Options Trading participants begin to boldly "buy the dip."
[US Stock Market Closing Review] The crucial CPI data is about to be released, and US stocks are showing mixed results with Technology stocks under pressure.
On Monday (January 13), U.S. stocks showed mixed performance. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 358 points, an increase of 0.86%, benefiting from strong performance in the Energy and other non-Technology sectors; the Nasdaq fell by 0.38% due to a pullback in Technology stocks, with Large Cap stocks like NVIDIA and Apple under pressure. The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury rose to 4.79%, reaching a 14-month high, as the market is highly attentive to the upcoming December CPI report, which may influence expectations for Federal Reserve policy.
Ten-Year Treasury Yield Forecast to Remain High Into 2026 -- Market Talk
When will the US stock market, US bonds, and the US dollar reach a turning point?
Why do the pricing of these three sets of assets—USA bonds, US stocks, and the USD—consistently deviate from the general market expectations? What is the main logic behind the pricing of USA assets, and how should we grasp the main contradictions in the pricing of USA assets?
U.S. Stock Market Early Session | U.S. stocks continue to be volatile, with technology stocks generally declining, NVIDIA down nearly 3%; Donald Trump concept stocks and some Chinese concept stocks are rising against the trend, DJT up nearly 9%, NetEase u
The rise in USA Treasury yields has led to continued selling of the large Technology stocks that have been leading the bull market over the past year. This week, the market is focusing on the upcoming Earnings Reports from several large Banks.
Wall Street Journal: Wall Street giants plan to establish a new structure to strengthen their focus on financing.
According to The Wall Street Journal on Monday (January 13), Goldman Sachs is planning to establish a new group that will merge three divisions of its Global Banks and Markets department to strengthen its focus on financing Trade and providing loans to companies.
Hot U.S. Economy Could Lead Fed to Hike Again -- Market Talk
US stock outlook | Wall Street begins to discuss the possibility of interest rate hikes! The three major index futures collectively weakened; Intra-Cellular surged nearly 35% in pre-market trading! It will be acquired by Johnson & Johnson for billions.
Tesla fell 3% before the market opened, as the largest Retirement Fund in Europe liquidated its shares; the yield on the 10-year US Treasury is aiming for 5%! The Global bond market is in turmoil.
The Growth Tech stocks in the U.S. market are experiencing a Top Reversal, how to use Options to seize good entry opportunities?
On one hand, if entering the market too quickly, stock prices may fall unexpectedly, potentially resulting in significant losses; on the other hand, if the "bottom guessing" fails, missing the best timing for positioning may lead to missing the desired price for the stocks. In this situation, the flexible use of several options strategies may help the trade align more with market trends.
U.S. Stock Market Insights | Delta Air Lines has scored big! Stock prices hit a new high, with performance and outlook both exceeding expectations; a $16.4 billion acquisition of Calpine, Energy giant CEG surged by 25.16%.
The Medical merger and acquisition frenzy has started again! It is rumored that Johnson & Johnson is in talks to acquire the biopharmaceutical company Intra-Cellular Therapies Inc., which focuses on treating central nervous system diseases, and its stock price has soared nearly 15%.