The Federal Reserve's meeting minutes suggest a pause in interest rate cuts, with "almost all" policymakers believing that Trump's policies may drive up inflation.
The "New Federal Reserve News Agency": The minutes suggest that Fed officials will temporarily keep interest rates unchanged, partly due to Trump's intention to impose tariffs, and they anticipate the risk of inflation being higher than expected.
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Philadelphia Fed President: Will lower interest rates as planned, do not "act hastily."
Hack pointed out that the Federal Reserve is still on the path of lowering interest rates, "I will not deviate from this path or turn back."
Minister Ma candidly stated that reducing federal spending by 2 trillion is an overly idealistic goal.
① Musk stated that the proposed "Department of Government Efficiency" in the USA may not be able to achieve its preset highest goal of cutting federal government spending by 2 trillion dollars; ② Musk emphasized in an exclusive interview that this is not an admission of failure in advance, and he can still help Trump achieve "epic results."
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Jensen Huang commented that the AI PC sales are below expectations, and a Lenovo VP responded that the key time for the AI PC replacement trend is this year.
The person in charge of Lenovo's AI PC stated that the wave of upgrading to AI PCs is approaching, with a key timeline of 2025. The penetration rate of AI PCs is expected to reach 40%-50% within the next two to three years, potentially even as high as 80%. In the next three to four years, every PC will become an AI PC.
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The Federal Reserve shifts to "market-based" inflation Indicators, adding optimistic grounds for the economic outlook.
Including Chairman Jerome Powell, senior officials of the Federal Reserve are increasingly relying on a lesser-known price indicator - "market-based" inflation, as a basis for their optimistic economic outlook.
USA officials expect that negotiations between Russia and Ukraine may begin early this year!
On the eve of leaving office, the Biden administration released another 0.5 billion USD in aid to Ukraine, to increase Ukraine's "potential bargaining chips."
Danger! U.S. Treasury yields are approaching the critical level of 5%, and a new wave of stock market sell-off may be coming.
The yield on U.S. Treasury bonds is rapidly rising to its highest level since October 2023, approaching a critical threshold that has historically triggered stock market sell-offs, causing panic in the market.
The deep recession alert has been sounded! USA credit card debt unexpectedly plummets.
In November, USA consumer credit decreased significantly by 7.5 billion dollars, with unpaid credit card and other revolving debt balances plummeting by 13.8 billion dollars, marking the largest monthly drop since the economic shutdown triggered by the COVID-19 pandemic. Analysis suggests that whenever there is such a sharp decline in revolving credit, the USA economy is often on the brink of recession or already in recession.
Are market worries excessive? Wall Street: NVIDIA's moat is robust, Blackwell has tight supply and demand, AI and accelerated computing drive sustainable growth.
UBS Group believes that NVIDIA has a strong moat in the AI field, and expects revenue to reach 133.2 billion US dollars in the fiscal year 2025. Citigroup believes that NVIDIA's growth is sustainable, stemming from four trends: the traditional computing market shifting to accelerated computing, AI becoming a new layer of computing, demand for AI factories, and AI empowering corporate productivity. JPMorgan forecasts that supply and demand in the Blackwell market may still be tight after 2025.
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Federal Reserve's Collins: The number of interest rate cuts in 2025 will be lower than previously expected.
Due to strong employment data and persistent inflation, Boston Federal Reserve President Collins is inclined to expect smaller rate cuts in 2025 than previously anticipated a few months ago.
The bond market is making a scene, and US stocks may be in for a tough time.
The stock market may once again shift to a "good news is bad news" pattern......
AI has triggered a wave of layoffs on Wall Street! The number of unemployed individuals in the next three years may exceed 200,000.
The report indicated that in the next 3 to 5 years, due to AI 'encroaching' on human jobs, Global Banks will lay off up to 200,000 people, with backend, mid-office, and Operation positions facing the highest risks. At the same time, 80% of respondents expect that generative AI will increase productivity and income by at least 5% during this period.