Exactly the same! The trend of U.S. treasuries and the U.S. dollar is perfectly "replicating" the Trump winning odds on Polymarket.
① Billion-level heavy bets directly influence the gambling odds on the USA presidential election, while gambling odds are quickly becoming the key driving force behind the world's largest and most liquid bonds market and even the global forex market... ② This cross-domain correlation may sound exaggerated, but the market charts clearly do not lie.
Buy ahead of time in 2016? Benefiting from the 'Trump trade,' assets are outpacing the market, but this time 'it's somewhat different.'
Republican presidential candidate Trump's polls are reversing, and the 'winning odds' are gradually increasing. A Merrill Lynch strategist pointed out that investors seem to be rushing to allocate to symbols that performed well after Trump's victory in 2016. What inspiration does this have for investment?
Dollar Domination: JPMorgan Strategist On How The Greenback Shapes Fate Of Franc, Yuan, Rupee
Hold your breath! The Fed's interest rate cut is about to be final, and this article reviews how previous interest rate cuts have affected the market.
With the Federal Reserve once again standing at the crossroads of a major monetary policy shift, historically speaking, what kind of impact will a Fed rate cut have on the stock market, bond market, and forex market? Multiple sets of historical statistics show that this may primarily depend on one factor: the health of the U.S. economy.
The U.S. Dollar Bull Run Has Come to an End – BNP Paribas
Dollar Trades Steady After Post-Inflation Gains
Markets 'Giving up' on 50bp Rate Cut After August Jobs Report
A U.S. Economy Tilting Closer to Recession May Not Mean a Weaker Dollar
Survey: The Federal Reserve is not expected to follow the call for significant interest rate cuts and is unlikely to make emergency cuts.
Most surveyed economists expect the Fed to only cut interest rates by 25 basis points in September, contrary to the calls of some major banks on Wall Street for a significant rate cut.
JPMorgan Strategists: 75% of Global Carry Trades Have Been Removed
A Potential Soft USD Policy by a New Trump White House Unlikely to Work - Deutsche Bank
Second Weekly Loss for U.S. Dollar Index, Softer Inflation in Play
Major events are clustered! Can the strong US dollar still "dominate"? The first week of the second half of the year is crucial.
The Bloomberg US Dollar Index has risen for six consecutive weeks, marking the longest rally since February; And as risk events are clustered in the first week of the second half of the year, it is undoubtedly worth the attention of investors to see if this will change the forex market pattern.
Is the time for the dollar's shine over as the bulls retreat?
Analysts believe that the decline of two major advantages may suppress the popularity of the US dollar.
DB US Dollar Index Bearish Powershares | 10-Q: Quarterly report
U.S. Dollar Index Jumps to Its Highest Level in a Month
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish Fund Declares $0.9608 Dividend
DB US Dollar Index Bearish Powershares To Go Ex-Dividend On December 18th, 2023 With 0.96078 USD Dividend Per Share
December 16th - $DB US Dollar Index Bearish Powershares(UDN.US)$ is trading ex-dividend on December 18th, 2023. Shareholders of record on December 19th, 2023 will receive 0.96078 USD dividend per
Inflation Watch: CPI Likely Remained Flat in November
Federal Reserve Critical Meet On Wednesday: Will Powell Signal Rate Cuts For H1 2024?