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Will there be any surprises in the non-farm data? The first major US data release day of the second half of the year has arrived.
If we were to discuss the most unpredictable economic indicators in the US market this year, non-farm payroll data would definitely make the list. Tonight marks the first non-farm evening of the second half of the year. What kind of surprises will this night bring? Will the data performance be unexpected once again?
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The Asia-Pacific stock market is booming: Taiwan stocks and Indian stocks hit record highs, Japanese stocks are nearing highs; The Federal Reserve hinted that it is not yet ready to cut interest rates, and bitcoin fell to a two-month low; Xpeng and NIO Inc responded to additional EU tariffs.
How does Wall Street predict the strongest global theme for the second half of the year, with expectations of a rate cut, election suspense, and the trend of US stocks?
As the global central bank interest rate cuts arrive, major events such as inflation rebound, the U.S. presidential election, and earnings season tests may all intensify volatility risks, but they also bring many opportunities for positioning.
The US Federal Reserve has been slow to cut interest rates, and the size of the US money market has surpassed 6.15 trillion US dollars, reaching a new high.
In the week ending on the 2nd, there was a inflow of approximately $51.2 billion into the US fund market, the largest inflow in three months. Some analysts pointed out that as long as the Federal Reserve continues to hold steady, funds will continue to flow into currency funds.
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Fed minutes: Waiting for more information to gain confidence in rate cuts, with the majority of officials believing that the economy is gradually cooling; U.S. June ISM services unexpectedly fell sharply below expectations, with the rate of contraction the fastest in four years.