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The Federal Reserve's first rate cut in four years, with Bank of America predicting a further 75 basis point cut before the end of the year.
Bank of America Global Research Company said on Wednesday (September 18th) that it is expected that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 75 basis points for the remaining time this year, which is higher than previously estimated. Bank of America also pointed out that the Federal Reserve may further reduce interest rates by 125 basis points by 2025. On the same day, Goldman Sachs predicted that the Federal Reserve would cut interest rates by 25 basis points multiple times until mid-2025.
US stock market preview | All three major futures indexes rose, Nasdaq futures rose more than 2%; technology stocks and Chinese concept stocks rose collectively before the market, Alibaba rose more than 4%, Nvidia and Tesla rose more than 3%
Bitcoin surpassed $63,000 today, with pre-market gains in crypto-related stocks. MSTR and MARA rose over 5%; Tesla rose nearly 3% pre-market, with Robotaxi set to debut soon, and bullish views from Wall Street institutions.
US stocks mining | The Federal Reserve cuts interest rates more than expected! Multiple real estate-related stocks reach new highs for the year; Accelerate the acquisition plan, US private equity giant KKR rises more than 9% in five days
Soft landing expected to ignite! ai optical communication company Coherent rose nearly 4% on the previous trading day, with a cumulative increase of nearly 90% within the year; ai cloud computing service platform servicenow hit another historical high intraday, with a total annual increase of over 26%.
Daily options tracking | Strong surge of over 38%! Intuitive machine with multiple call options makes over 10 times the profit; Interest rate cut stimulates bullish, emerging markets ETF call options surge to 80%
Apple rose nearly 2% overnight, with options volume increasing by nearly double to 1.318 million contracts compared to the previous trading day. The highest volume was for a call option expiring tomorrow with a strike price of $222.5, totaling 0.13 million contracts. In addition, several call options expiring on Friday saw significant gains, with the most impressive increase exceeding twice the initial investment.
The interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve has become the focus of the market again, with the narrative of the US economy's soft landing.
This week, the Federal Reserve held its most important meeting in recent history, with all investors' attention focused on one question: Did the Federal Reserve initiate a timely rate-cutting cycle to prevent the economy from slowing down too quickly?
Loose cycle begins! Take history as a lesson: There is a hidden connection between FED interest rate adjustments and election results.
①There is less than 7 weeks until the November 5th election. ②When the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates, the party in control of the White House has lost 5 out of 6 elections.
Futu Morning News | The Federal Reserve cuts interest rates by 50 basis points, and the US stock market sees a roller coaster market! Powell: Don't think this is a new pace of interest rate cuts.
"Fed Horn": The Federal Reserve is actually making up for lost time; Polls: Harris leads Trump in swing states Pennsylvania and Michigan; Apple is up nearly 2%, and Morgan Stanley is expected to take over its credit card project from Goldman Sachs.
TOP 20 transaction volume | Nvidia fell nearly 2%, with a transaction volume of over 35.5 billion US dollars; Apple rose nearly 2%, and Goldman Sachs is expected to take over its credit card project from Goldman Sachs.
On Wednesday, Nvidia, ranking first in trading volume, fell 1.92% with a turnover of $35.556 billion. Tesla, ranking second, fell 0.29% with a turnover of $17.913 billion. Apple, ranking third, rose 1.80% with a turnover of $13.189 billion.
US Stock Market Outlook: The Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting is coming tonight; Pre-market soars nearly 53%! US space concept stock LUNR secures nearly $5 billion contract.
Apple has been surpassed by Xiaomi again after 3 years, falling to the third largest mobile phone brand in the world in August; United States Steel rose nearly 4% in pre-market trading, and the CEO said he is confident that the acquisition deal will eventually be approved by the US government; Another major bank is strongly bullish on gold: it will rise to $2900 next year.
Bullish on US stocks | More policy support! Li Auto Inc. jumped over 12% overnight; Rate cut expectations boost credit card companies to hit new historical highs.
Heavy investment! Blackrock joined hands with Microsoft to bet on the AI track, reaching the $900 mark overnight and hitting a new historical high, with a 1.04% increase; target price was raised by major bank analysts! Applovin, a mobile advertising technology company, soared more than 6% overnight, surging more than 40% in the past 5 trading days, and has risen more than 200% so far this year, creating a new historical high again.
Daily options tracking | Bullish signals everywhere! Intel's multiple call options have doubled in premium and surged; Gold ETF trading is hot, with the call-to-put ratio climbing to 63%.
Tesla's trading volume yesterday surged 30% compared to the previous trading day, reaching 1.22 million shares. The call option chain skyrocketed to 65%. Among the options chain, the long positions occupy the main position, with the largest volume being the call option with a strike price of $235 expiring this Friday, with a volume of 0.1 million shares.
Tonight, the world is paying close attention! The "giant ship" of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut will officially set sail.
①For the global financial markets, tonight is destined to be a sleepless night... ②As scheduled, the Federal Reserve is scheduled to announce the September interest rate decision at 2:00 AM Beijing time on Thursday; ③It is generally expected in the industry that the Federal Reserve will announce the first rate cut in 4 years at this meeting, with little suspense, but at the same time, this is also the most 'mysterious' or uncertain Federal Reserve interest rate night in recent years.
The historically 'most difficult to predict' Federal Reserve meeting is here! Dalio supports the CEO of Morgan Stanley: the magnitude of the interest rate cut is not important.
① Dalio emphasized that in the long run, the Fed's actions this week will ultimately "have no impact"; ② According to him, based on the overall situation of the US economy, a slight interest rate cut by the Fed this week, with a magnitude of 25 basis points, is appropriate.
How much will the Federal Reserve cut tonight? New Bond King: 50 basis points, Dalio: 25 basis points, Damon: None of this matters.
Before, the new bond king called for support for a 50 basis point rate cut, the Fed is already 'behind the curve'; while Ray Dalio, the founder of Bridgewater, stated that 'a 25 basis point rate cut is the right move', JPMorgan CEO Dimon has taken a 'cool' attitude: 'Whether it's a 25 basis point cut or a 50 basis point cut, this move 'will not be earth-shattering'.
The Fed's interest rate cut is coming tonight! Wall Street economists: It will start the era of dollar depreciation.
On Thursday morning Beijing time, the global market will witness a significant moment: the announcement of the September interest rate decision by the Federal Reserve. Point72 Asset Management's strategist and economist Sofia Delrosso believes that this rate cut by the Fed will be a major moment, marking the official entry of the US dollar into a downward trend and providing a boost to the economies in other parts of the world.
Futu Morning News | Rate cut countdown! US stocks continue to break records; Bank of America: Long the seven giants of US stocks is still the most crowded trade.
"New美联储通讯社": The situation is complex, and there are still doubts about the magnitude of the Fed's first rate cut; if the Fed's first cut is done "properly", the record-breaking betting on a significant rate cut may face huge risks; Apple's iPhone 16 series pre-order sales in the first weekend fell short of expectations, analysts: the long-term outlook remains optimistic.
Top 20 transaction volume | Microsoft rose nearly 1%, planning to buy back up to 60 billion US dollars and increase dividend; Walmart fell more than 2%, has cleared all the shares of Dada holdings.
Microsoft, the top trading volume in the US stock market on Tuesday, fell by 1.02%, with a trading volume of $26.993 billion. Tesla, the second place, rose by 0.48%, with a trading volume of $15.367 billion. Apple, the third place, rose by 0.22%, with a trading volume of $9.84 billion.
US stocks in early trading | The three major indexes rose collectively, Chinese concept stocks and technology stocks strengthened collectively, Li Auto Inc rose nearly 9%, Tesla rose over 3%.
USA retail sales exceeded expectations in August, indicating that the consumer situation in the USA remains healthy. The Federal Reserve will begin its two-day monetary policy meeting today and announce the meeting results tomorrow. Wedbush brokerage stated that AI stocks like Nvidia will benefit from the Fed's rate cut.
Preview of US stocks | August retail sales data exceeds expectations, three major futures indices slightly rise; Bullish news frequently! Intel pre-market up nearly 7%.
Microsoft is giving out "red envelopes": dividend increase of 10%, planning to repurchase up to 60 billion US dollars; "New Fed Communication Agency" reiterated uncertainty: the magnitude of the first interest rate cut is still suspenseful.
Futu Morning Post | Senators jointly write to Powell, urging a 75 basis point rate cut this week; Intel to customize AI chips for amazon, with stock soaring over 11% after hours.
Barclays argues that if Trump implements unilateral forex intervention to weaken the US dollar, the cost will be too high; Ultraman has left the OpenAI safety and security committee, which will be chaired by Zico Kolter.