US stocks early trading | Donald Trump concept stocks collectively rose, DJT surged 13%, Rumble rose over 6%; Many popular China concept stocks showed strength, Xiaopeng rose over 7%, Nio Inc rose 5%
Apple rose by 0.8%, the Indonesian government recently announced a ban on selling the iPhone 16 series in the country; Boeing fell by 1.67%, and will issue 90 million shares of stocks and 5 billion US dollars in depositary stocks.
US stock market outlook | Super week is coming! Large technology stocks' earnings reports join hands with PCE, 'non-farm' explosive scene; Morgan Stanley: US stocks will continue to dominate the global market in the next ten years.
Royal Philips Q3 sales were below expectations, lowering full-year sales guidance, down nearly 17% pre-market; Bitcoin back above $68,000, cryptos concept stocks rose pre-market.
Options Outlook | Apple's heavyweight financial report is coming! The stock price's one-day post-performance change may approach 4%; Will AMD's profit double? Call options ratio reaches seventy percent.
Meta's current implied volatility is ±8.3%, compared to the previous four quarters, the post-earnings stock price change was approximately 9.9%, indicating that the current options value is still underestimated; as the stock price volatility has historically had a 60% chance of exceeding market expectations, the success rate of using a bullish straddle options strategy during earnings season is about 75%.
Analysis of the 'Fed's Echo Chamber': The hidden dangers of new inflation after the election.
Trump may be heading into a new feud with the Federal Reserve, and any factor that reignites inflation could lead officials to slow down or even halt interest rate cuts.
Futu Express | Fierce Competition! The USA presidential election enters the sprint phase, with a record-high early voting rate; NYSE's heavyweight official announcement! Intends to extend US stock trading hours.
The 14th session of the 12th National People's Congress Standing Committee will be held in Beijing from November 4th to 8th; the apple AI feature Apple Intelligence officially launched this week; How difficult is shorting US stocks? Tesla's short positions, which made money this year, were wiped out in just one day.
BofA's Hartnett: The election will strengthen Wall Street's four core trades, but inflation and economic downturn will reverse everything.
Bank of America analyst Hartnett pointed out that the four core trading strategies on Wall Street now are, bearish on bonds, bullish on gold and technology stocks. Tightening immigration policies may trigger inflation, leading to further increase in gold prices. The market is worried that Fed rate cuts may lead to inflation and overheating of the economy, with bond yields unexpectedly rising after the rate cut, causing US stocks to become more concentrated. Now is not a good time to buy bonds and stocks.
Trump's cabinet: 2.0 Observation Guidelines
Minsheng Securities believes that "actions speak louder than words", which may be particularly prominent in political affairs such as the usa election, requiring special attention to the US Treasury Secretary and trade representative.
One-week lookahead | Heavyweight financial reports coming! Technology giants such as apple, microsoft are unveiling one after another; USA economic data bombardment one after another! Non-farm payroll report finale on Friday.
Multiple countries will announce their GDP for the third quarter, with the USA's economy expected to achieve an annualized growth rate of 3.3% in the third quarter; Bank of Japan interest rate decision: expected to maintain short-term interest rates unchanged, gradually reducing the scale of bond purchases.
Non-farm payrolls and election lead the November resolution, the Fed enters another silent period, will there be a leak this time?
Analysts expect that key data such as the September PCE inflation report and the October employment report will not alter the Fed's decision-making path. Economist Matthew Luzzetti said, "In other circumstances, data might influence their decisions, but this year, officials may not waver... The presidential election will not change the Fed's plan to cut interest rates by 25 basis points on November 7th."
Is it a case of making a cocoon for oneself? Research shows: Trump's tariffs have the biggest impact on the Republican strongholds.
①As the US presidential election approaches, the probability of the Republican presidential candidate Trump winning is increasing, and his radical tariff policy will inevitably impact the US and global economy; ②A recent analysis shows that within the US, the areas most severely affected by Trump's tariff policy are the Republican strongholds, as well as the swing states that may determine the election outcome.
US stocks early trading | The three major indexes all rose, with the Nasdaq hitting a new all-time high intraday; technology stocks, Chinese concept stocks, and cryptos all rising across the board, with Tesla and Nvidia up more than 2%.
On the evening of the 25th Beijing time, the US stock market continued to rise in early trading on Friday, with technology stocks leading the gains. Tesla continued yesterday's upward trend. The yield on the 10-year Treasury bond slightly declined. The market continues to focus on US stock earnings reports, economic data, the presidential election, and the Fed's interest rate path. US durable goods orders in September fell by 0.8% month-on-month but were better than expected.
US stock market outlook | The three major futures indexes rose slightly, with Chinese concept stocks generally rising; as tesla soared, "Wood Sister" took the opportunity to sell $22 million worth of shares.
Taiwan Semiconductor rose more than 1% pre-market, and prices for sub-5nm next year may increase again; Spirit Airlines surged nearly 13% pre-market, planning to sell planes and lay off employees to reduce costs; Apple's smart phone market share in China returned to the top 5! The iPhone 16 is expected to kick off a new upgrade cycle.
Daily options tracking | Achieved the best single-day performance in over 11 years! Tesla's multiple call options earned more than 20 times; trading is hot! SoFi, super micro computer put options volume surged.
Nvidia's options volume yesterday was 2.64 million contracts, with call options accounting for 64.5% of the total. The highest volume was for end-of-day calls with a strike price of $140, reaching 0.23 million contracts, with an open interest of 0.08 million contracts.
Beware of market volatility triggered by the US presidential election! Blackrock: This risk is underestimated.
Blackrock recently warned that the market is underestimating the risks of one of the US presidential candidates questioning the outcome of next month's election. Blackrock Investment Institute (BII) Managing Director Jean Boivin believes that a contentious election result could lead to a "legal war that could last for weeks and be very chaotic," potentially disrupting asset prices.
Futu Morning Post | Surged overnight! Tesla soared by 22%, Musk's wealth increased by $26 billion; Initial jobless claims in the USA unexpectedly declined to pre-hurricane levels.
Federal Reserve voting committee member Hammack stated that although the progress in reducing inflation in recent months has improved, the work against inflation is not yet complete; European Central Bank board member Nagel said that the ECB should not be too hasty in cutting interest rates and should still maintain flexibility.
U.S. stock early trading | Tesla soared more than 16% after earnings, with its stock price briefly rising above $250; Cryptocurrency stocks surged, with MicroStrategy up over 6% and Coinbase up over 5%.
On the evening of the 24th Beijing time, tesla's stock price soared after the performance was announced. The market continues to focus on the US stock earnings and the prospects of the Fed's interest rate cuts.
US stocks outlook | Bullish outlook! Morgan Stanley: US stocks will remain strong in the next decade, benefiting from technology and AI; Tesla surges nearly 14% pre-market, Q3 profits exceed expectations.
Uber Technologies, Lyft fell before the market opened, Tesla will launch ride-hailing services in Texas and California next year; bold prediction! Bernstein bets that bitcoin will rise to $0.2 million next year.
Daily options tracking | Tesla launched a performance 'comeback battle'! A major investor splurged over $11 million to buy bullish contracts yesterday; Bearish news struck, Apple made over 3 times profit from multiple put options.
Meta fell more than 3% in the previous trading day, put ratio was 30%, total options trade volume was 1.34 million contracts, with the highest volume being the call option expiring tomorrow at a strike price of $590, with 0.043 million contracts, and open interest of 0.01 million contracts.
Futu Morning Post | Exceeding expectations! Tesla's post-performance soared, Musk said next year's sales are expected to increase by 20-30%; the Fed released the beige book, inflation levels continue to be moderate
Warren Buffett speaks out on the US presidential election: Does not endorse any political candidate; Pressuring US debt? Goldman Sachs and asset management giant Vanguard are more bullish on European debt.
U.S. stock market closing review: U.S. stocks fell, Dow Jones plummeted by 400 points. tesla's profits exceeded expectations, and surged significantly after hours.
On Wednesday (October 23), the US stock market plunged significantly due to the rise in US Treasury yields, with market sentiment under pressure. The Dow Jones Industrial Average index plummeted nearly 400 points, marking the largest single-day drop in over a month.