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CBOE Volatility S&P 500 Index Newsroom
Strongly advocate for deregulation and tax cuts! Wall Street rushes towards 'Trump 2.0'.
Regardless of their past positions, or concerns about retaliation by President Trump, Wall Street executives are actively aligning with Trump, anticipating potential tax cuts and deregulation policies. Some are preparing to apply for positions in the White House, while others are willing to provide donations to the Trump team. JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs CEOs have previously congratulated Trump, stating that the policies of the new government will have a significant impact on the banking industry business.
Wall Street's latest consensus: In the Trump 2.0 era, the Federal Reserve may slow down its rate cuts.
①After the results of the usa election were released, Wall Street in the usa became increasingly concerned about the prospect of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve next year; ②On Thursday Eastern Time, following a statement by Federal Reserve Chairman Powell, many investment banks gave up hope for a substantial rate cut by the Federal Reserve next year.
Weekend Reading | Trump returns to the White House, how does the US election tear apart the entire Silicon Valley technology circle?
The technology sector is no longer a monolithic entity.
Bond giant Pimco: Trump is adding fuel to the fire for the US economy, so risk assets shouldn't be too happy too soon.
Pimco warns that the post-election surge in US stocks may face a reversal. Trump's policy plans could lead to intensified inflation, overheating of the economy, and hinder the Fed's interest rate cut process. Risk assets should not be blindly optimistic.
The Fed paused rate cuts as betting on rate hikes heats up! Traders expect an 80% probability of a pause in January next year, with Goldman Sachs expecting a slowdown in rate cuts.
Cme tools show that the probability of pausing rate cuts in December is about 35% in the futures market this Friday, and the probability of pausing in January next year is about 78%. The probabilities announced by the Federal Reserve before the rate cuts on Thursday are 33% and 67% respectively. Goldman Sachs currently predicts rate cuts of 25 basis points in June and September next year, compared to the previous forecast of May and June.
Trading Volume TOP20 | Tesla soared 29% this week, Musk may become a member of the Trump administration; Coinbase closed up nearly 6%.
Eli Lilly and Co, ranked sixth in US stocks trading volume, rose by 4.27%, with a turnover of $5.981 billion; Applovin, an online gaming and advertising company, ranked eleventh, rose by 17.64%, with a turnover of $4.146 billion; Upstart, an ai-driven lending institution, ranked sixteenth, increased by 46.02%, with a turnover of $3.072 billion.
U.S. stocks closed | The three major indexes hit record highs together! Tesla rose more than 8%, market cap exceeded 1 trillion U.S. dollars.
Trump Media Technology Group rebounded by more than 15%; NVIDIA hit a new intraday high before falling back, ending its five consecutive gains.
US stock market morning session | The three major indexes rose together, with Tesla up more than 3%, breaking through the $300 mark; Chinese concept stocks generally trended lower, with ke holdings down more than 6%.
On the evening of the 8th peking time, the US stock market opened with mixed gains and losses on Friday. After Trump's victory, investors are weighing the possibility of the Republican Party simultaneously controlling both houses of Congress in the usa, and are paying attention to the latest rate cut measures of the Federal Reserve and the future interest rate path.
Bull market in US stocks is accelerating! S&P, Nasdaq hit new highs together, how long will the "Trump trade" last?
French Industrial Bank believes that 'Trump trades are at their peak', and U.S. cyclical trades should last at least until the inauguration day (January 20, 2025), while stocks dependent on Fed rate cuts, such as small-cap stocks, will need to be reassessed by then.
US Stock Outlook | The enthusiasm for the 'Trump trade' cools down! The market questions the difficulty of policy implementation; nvidia continues to rise before the market opens, refreshing the historical market cap of the US stock market
Is the demand for ai chips slowing down? taiwan semiconductor's sales in October increased by 29.2% year-on-year, the lowest growth rate since February; upstart's Q3 revenue was $0.162 billion, a 20% increase year-on-year.
Daily Options Recap | Large options bet of over a hundred million US dollars! Institutional investors collectively buy into nvidia; super micro computer rebounds by over 12%, with call options expiring in the money this Friday doubling in value.
Energy Transfer, the oil & gas pipeline company in the usa, revealed strong Q3 performance the day before yesterday, with options volume soaring to 2.75 million contracts and a call ratio of 99.4%.
Not Much News From the Fed – Commerzbank
Will the US stock market repeat the collapse? Soros's debt warning from the 1980s rings once again!
George Soros's warning about US debt in the 1980s is still echoing today.
The enthusiasm for the 'Trump trade' is cooling down, and the market is starting to worry about this.
Even the most optimistic traders are reconsidering their bets on the 'Trump trade'...
"Trump trade" fizzled out, what is the market worried about?
The market is concerned that if Trump really fulfills his campaign promises, especially on tariff policy, the usa may see larger deficits and soaring inflation, immigrant workers being deported, which could lead to a significant decline in economic growth.
How will the "Trump trade" play out next? How long will it last?
Goldman Sachs believes that by the end of 2024, the s&p 500 index will reach about 6015 points; investors will increase their holdings of stocks after the election. Societe Generale's Manish believes, 'Trump trade is at its peak,' usa cyclical trade should last at least until Inauguration Day (January 20).
"Red Wave" coming? Many experts predict the Republican Party will achieve a "three-peat" victory.
Currently, the Republican Party has already secured 210 seats in the House of Representatives, only needing to gain an additional 8 seats to maintain control of the House of Representatives.
"King of trash talk" Trump is back, and Wall Street is starting to tremble!
Trump, who prefers to govern through Twitter, is about to return to social media, and the days of overturning the market with just one sentence are about to come.
Trump's MAGA vision may have encountered a "stumbling block"! Powell firmly defends the independence of the Federal Reserve.
Federal Reserve Chairman stated that the President does not have the authority to fire or demote him; early Friday morning Beijing time, the Federal Reserve announced a 25 basis point rate cut.
The Fed's balance sheet assets have fallen below 7 trillion US dollars! When will Quantitative Tightening reach the finish line?
The Federal Reserve has taken longer than Wall Street expected to withdraw liquidity from the market, but Trump's victory may make the prospect of ending QT more urgent.