The FOMC committee members have undergone a major turnover! With more hawks taking positions, will the Federal Reserve's policy stance undergo a "dramatic change" in 2025?
As the time approaches 2025, the annual rotation of voting members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will also occur, and the addition of new members may somewhat increase resistance to further interest rate cuts.
2024 financial events summary! The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut cycle has officially begun, with the U.S. stock market, Bitcoin, and Gold all reaching new highs, and NVIDIA's Market Cap even temporarily topping the Global rankings.
In 2024, with the Federal Reserve's first interest rate cut in four years, Global Assets flourish, with Japanese stocks, Gold, US stocks, Bitcoin, and others breaking historical highs one after another. Chinese Assets experienced an epic surge in October.
Trump 2.0 is coming soon! These are the areas that investors are focusing on.
Investors in the USA are preparing for a series of changes that are set to occur in 2025.
Consumer confidence in the USA has dropped for the first time in three months, as concerns about Trump's tariff increases grow.
① In December, the Consumer Confidence Index in the USA fell to 104.7, below the expected value of 113.2, marking the first decline in three months; ② An increasing number of consumers are mentioning politics and tariffs, with 46% of respondents expecting tariffs to raise the cost of living, while 21% expect tariffs to create more jobs in the USA.
U.S. stock market in the morning | All three major Indexes turned to decline, with the Dow down 0.7%; some Growth Tech stocks rose, AMD surged over 4%, Broadcom increased nearly 4%, and Apple hit a new high during the session; the Cryptos Concept stocks c
On the evening of the 23rd in Peking time, US stocks opened mixed on Monday. The market is preparing for a shortened trading week due to holidays, and trading is expected to be relatively light this week.
Express News | In December, the USA's Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index was 104.7, with an expectation of 113, and a previous value of 111.7.
US Stock Preview | The NASDAQ 100 component adjustments will take effect tonight! Three companies have been included; quantum computing stocks are crazy before the market! QBTS rose more than 20% in the premarket
Broadcom stirs up the AI Chip market again! Multiple major banks raise their Target Price; Robotaxi accelerates deployment, and Tesla rises 3% in pre-market trading.
Musk is preparing to take action against the Federal Reserve!
Trump and Musk now both seem to regard the Federal Reserve as a 'thorn in their side'...
Annual Review | The 2024 US IPO list is released! The Closed-end Fund DXYZ, heavily invested in SpaceX, has surged nearly 650% this year, with strong performances from the nuclear energy company NNE and the social media newcomer Reddit.
According to the latest data from Dealogic and Nasdaq, as of November 2024, Nasdaq had completed a total of 160 IPO Trades, raising approximately 22 billion USD, while the New York Stock Exchange completed only 34 IPO Trades during the same period, raising nearly 17 billion USD. This data not only sets a new annual high for the past three years but also marks a strong recovery in the USA IPO market.
US Stock Gold Mining | AI applications are accelerating penetration! Palantir surged over 8% last Friday; positive news from new drug trials led Teva Pharmaceutical Industries to accumulate a rise of over 33% last week, and its stock price has doubled wit
Performance and guidance exceeded expectations, with multiple Analysts raising their Target Price! Darden Restaurants, the parent company of Olive Garden, rose over 2% on the previous Trading day, accumulating a gain of more than 12% last week. The Market Cap is firmly above 20 billion USD, and the stock price has reached a new high for the year!
Daily Options Tracking | NVIDIA continues to rebound before the market opens, with Call options rising bullishly to 140 dollars; are they aiming to create a new defense alliance? Last Friday, several Call options for Palantir doubled and profited signific
Broadcom Options volume exceeded 0.85 million contracts, doubling compared to the 30-day average, with Call options accounting for as much as 77%. From the perspective of Options trading volume, bullish sentiment remains quite strong. The call options expiring on January 17 next year, with a strike price of $150, are actively traded, with both volume and open interest exceeding 0.015 million contracts.
Miran was nominated by Trump as the Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers, supporting stronger control over the Federal Reserve and criticizing Yellen for manipulating U.S. debt.
Miran calls for comprehensive reform of the Federal Reserve to ensure greater political control over it. At the same time, he accuses Yellen of manipulating the USA government debt market, believing that the Biden administration has effectively implemented an 800 billion dollar quantitative easing.
The impact of the Federal Reserve's hawkish interest rate cuts continues, and "higher for longer" has returned to investors' attention.
Federal Reserve officials now predict that the rate cuts in 2025 will be smaller. In the final trading days of this year, the Federal Reserve will re-adopt the "higher for longer" policy stance.
Is a rate cut causing trouble? This may be the "most painful" loosening cycle of the Federal Reserve in decades.
① Many homebuyers in the USA had hoped that the Federal Reserve could lower interest rates to make mortgage rates cheaper. However, so far, mortgage rates have significantly increased after the Federal Reserve's "three consecutive rate cuts"; ② In fact, in the eyes of some industry insiders, especially investors in the Bonds market, this may be the most "painful" period of the Federal Reserve's easing cycle in decades...
Futu Morning Report | Is a sell-off signal emerging? Buffett takes the opportunity to "sweep up" Occidental Petroleum and two other companies; Tesla's latest announcement: the automated driving taxi Robotaxi is accelerating its advancement.
The "Three Witches" day caused huge fluctuations in the US stock market, as shorts covered their positions leading to a sharp rise during the day, but market volatility may continue into next week; several Federal Reserve officials supported a cautious approach to interest rate cuts next year, relying on data, while Powell's "dovish allies" rarely spoke in a hawkish tone.
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U.S. stock market early session | The three major Indexes opened lower and then rose, with the S&P and Dow Jones turning positive first, Broadcom rebounding over 2%; Quantum Computing concept stocks made a comeback, with Rigetti up nearly 28% and QUBT ris
On the evening of the 20th in Peking time, the largest ever "Triple Witching Day" is approaching, with Options worth 6.6 trillion USD about to expire. The year-on-year increase of the USA's November PCE Index is 2.4%, lower than expected. The government shutdown crisis in the USA has resurfaced.
US Stock Preview | USA PCE data overall underperformed expectations, and the declines in the three major futures indices significantly narrowed; US stocks face another test: the largest "Triple Witching" day in history arrives tonight!
The latest weight loss drug's phase 3 trial results were below expectations, resulting in Novo-Nordisk A/S's shares dropping nearly 20% in Pre-Market Trading; the Trump Media Technology Group's shares fell over 4% in Pre-Market Trading as Trump transferred all his shares to a revocable REITs.
Fed's voting member Daly: Very satisfied with the expectation of two interest rate cuts in 2025.
Daly expects that the number of interest rate cuts next year will be "much fewer than we imagined" and believes that the central bank can shift to a slower approach.