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CBOE Volatility S&P 500 Index Newsroom
Should one consider buying small cap stocks in the US at the moment?
Large cap stocks in the US stock market have much higher valuations than small cap stocks. As of the end of May, the median P/E ratio for the top 10% of stocks by market capitalization in the S&P 500 index was 21.9, while the median P/E ratio for the bottom 10% of stocks by market capitalization during the same period was 15.3, a discount of about 30% compared to the former.
US Stock Market Outlook: Three major futures indexes are slightly up before opening. Powell's heavyweight non-farm data will be released this week; Goldman Sachs warns that hedge funds are selling and shorting US stocks at the fastest pace in two years.
70 percent of the public question Biden's ability, but core members within the Democratic Party still support him: Biden should not withdraw from the race. Morgan Stanley says Trump's prospects have boosted yields on U.S. bonds, and the steepening yield curve makes trade more attractive. Tesla is about to announce Q2 delivery data and is expected to show a consecutive decline for the second quarter.
While the s&p 500 index has repeatedly hit new highs under the wave of AI frenzy, why is the cautious sentiment spreading faster?
Why are some Wall Street analysts nervous despite the record-breaking performance of the S&P 500 index?
Unfazed by the Fed officials' "hawkish" tone, the market continues to bet on interest rate cuts! These US Treasury bond ETFs are worth paying attention to.
The conditions for a favorable US bond have matured, and US bond etfs are expected to have outstanding performances.
Has the wind shifted for the US stock market? Hedge funds are selling off and short selling at the fastest pace in two years.
Retail investors in the US are still buying technology stocks like Nvidia, but Wall Street's "smart money" has begun selling most of the stocks, with technology stocks as the main focus. On Monday, Goldman Sachs said in a report that hedge funds have begun to rapidly sell US stocks as the market hits a historic high. Vincent Lin, an analyst at Goldman Sachs, said that hedge funds have been actively selling and short selling TMT sectors (technology, media, and telecommunications), mainly semiconductor stocks, including Nvidia, over the past month. In June alone, hedge funds' net sales in the TMT sector of the US stock market will reach a record high for Goldman Sachs' main brokerage business.
New 'biggest bear' in US stocks warns: Beware of rapid decline in the United States!
Analysts say that once a recession occurs, the Federal Reserve may not immediately intervene.
70% of the public questions Biden's ability, but core members of the Democratic Party still support him: Biden should not withdraw from the election.
According to a poll, after Biden's "disastrous" television debate performance, more than 70% of Americans questioned his ability to serve as president.
The US non-farm payroll report for June will be released on Friday! Q2 US stock profit growth is still dependent on technology giants.
The release of the U.S. June nonfarm payroll report this Friday will provide a powerful perspective on the labor market, and the latest salary and job vacancy situation of private enterprises will also be the focus of this week.
The focal point dominating the global market: Will the employment situation in the USA deteriorate sharply?
"New Federal Reserve News Agency": Even if employment cools down slowly, the United States will still decline.
Express News | Goldman Sachs: Hedge funds are becoming increasingly cautious about US stocks.
In the second half of 2024, there will be a global wave of interest rate cuts.
The Fed's decision to delay rate cuts will not stop the global easing trend.
Futu Morning News | Key events in U.S. stocks! Russell Index Annual Rebalancing Effective on Monday; First Debate a "Performance Disaster," U.S. Legislators Call for Biden's Impeachment.
Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs bearish on US stocks; US stocks closed the first half of the year with a 14% increase, of which 60% came from the five major technology stocks, with Nvidia alone contributing more than 30%; The EU is increasing its scrutiny of AI giants, with OpenAI, Microsoft, and Google among them.
Express News | A recent poll shows that nearly half of Democratic voters believe that Biden should not continue to participate in the presidential election.
Inflation is no match for the bullish US stock market, which has seen a pullback after new highs. Beware of volatility making a comeback.
Nvidia is facing a technical bear market risk.
Former top three at the Federal Reserve: the Fed will ultimately cut interest rates, but later than expected by the market, pay attention to these two key indicators.
Dudley believes that the US economic growth will gradually slow down, and the interest rate level will remain high for a longer time. The neutral interest rate level may rise to 3.6%, and the key indicators to be monitored in the future are the unemployment rate and core service inflation.
Express News | There is an 87.1% probability that the Fed will maintain its interest rate in August.
Opinion | How will the first US election debate affect market expectations?
Expectations of the return of Trump may continue to ferment.
Recent "bearish singing in turn" on Wall Street: If the US economy declines, US stocks may fall back.
Peter Berezin, Chief Global Strategist of BCA Research, has lowered the annual target for the S&P to 3750 points, believing that the softness in consumer demand caused by the slowdown in the labor market is the biggest bearish trend for US stocks.
Weekly outlook | Hong Kong stocks are closed on Monday! Powell's big attack with the non-agricultural sector may provide a new signal for monetary policy
The market will also look for further clues about the health of the US employment market from Tuesday's JOLTS vacancies, Wednesday's 'small non-farm' ADP employment figures for June, and initial jobless claims data.
This July is considered to be a critical time for the US stock market.
For the US stock market to continue its upward trend, there needs to be more certain expectations of interest rate cuts and higher profit guidance, with July's CPI data and the Fed meeting being key influencing factors.