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jpmorgan warns: if Trump wins on Wednesday, the Fed may pause the easing cycle as early as December.
Analyst David Kelly expects that the policies of the Trump administration will expand the fiscal deficit, leading to increased inflation, which may cause the Federal Reserve to pause rate cuts. If Harris wins, the Federal Reserve will maintain an accommodative stance.
September US Factory New Orders, Shipments, Inventories All Decline
USA election, who will win? The two main candidates are battling in the 'swing states', this guide for watching and trading is worth collecting!
This may determine the direction of the US economy for the next four years. This may determine the direction of the US economy for the next four years.
US stock market morning session | The three major indices fell together, with Nvidia rising more than 1% against the market, surpassing Apple in market cap; "Trump trade" cools down, china concept stocks collectively rise.
On the evening of the 4th Beijing time, the US stock market opened basically flat on Monday. Investors are preparing for the highly anticipated US presidential election, and continue to follow this week's Federal Reserve monetary policy meeting and US stock earnings. Nvidia will replace Intel as a component stock of the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
Fed Meeting: Wall Street Is Pricing in a 25bps Cut This Week
The Daily Chase: Markets Watch, Wait in Final Day Before U.S. Election
US stock market outlook | Market suddenly reduces "Trump trade"! Polls show the outcome is unpredictable; Nvidia's pre-market rise nearly 2%, will replace Intel in the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
In pre-market trading on Monday, the three major futures indices showed mixed movements; popular China concept stocks generally rose in pre-market trading, with xpeng up nearly 6%; tesla's electric vehicle delivery volume in China in October decreased by 5.3% year-on-year and a significant 23% month-on-month drop.
US stock funds suffered a heavy blow! The outflow of funds reached a five-week high.
In the week ending on October 30, a large amount of funds flowed out of US stock funds as investors remained cautious ahead of the presidential election on Tuesday, November 5, and the Fed's policy decision on Wednesday.
Daily options tracking | Included in the Dow Jones component stocks! Nvidia rose 2% most profitable with call options doubling in a single day; "Audit Scandal" unfinished, super micro computer put options skyrocketing for consecutive days.
Amazon's performance surged by 6% after the earnings report, with large investors betting on selling put options and being bullish. The largest single transaction involved $2.7 million; China's large cap stock ETF experienced a sharp increase in implied volatility levels, as the market awaits the expected outcome.
Look to Singapore for Attractively Valued Stocks
Dow Jones Elliott Wave Technical Analysis [Video]
DBS: Investors should avoid the misconception of 'election trades'.
On the eve of the US election, Goldman Sachs provides a guide on watching and avoiding pitfalls.
Offshore RMB breaks through two levels, skyrocketing more than 500 basis points! The US presidential election is deadlocked, causing the US dollar index to weaken. Has the "Trump trade" come to an early end?
①Based on the policy analysis of the two candidates, Trump's election will lead to a strong US dollar, while Harris's policy will trigger a weak dollar. ②As the election approaches, nanhua futures noticed the emergence of profit-taking levels in the 'Trump trade'.
For a decade, the US stock market's 'passive rise' has brought about what changes to the market?
Goldman Sachs stated that looking at the US stocks as a reference, the real estate industry has the highest passive holding proportion, while the energy industry has the lowest. The passive holding proportion of large-cap stocks is relatively small, and the impact of passive holding on the s&p 500 index stock trend is not significant. s&p 500 index stocks with high passive holdings do not consistently outperform stocks with low passive holdings.
Wall Street watches the election: holding cash, ready to buy assets at any time.
Traders believe that this week's fluctuations may be very intense, the safest approach is to wait patiently.
Over 75 million American voters have already cast their ballots! The Democratic Party still maintains a slight lead.
①As of 7:59 PM Eastern Time on November 3, more than 75 million eligible voters in the usa have already cast early votes; ②Currently, the Democratic voter turnout rate has reached 41%, still slightly ahead of the Republican party's 39%.
The Federal Reserve follows the US presidential election closely, and the prospects for interest rate cuts are full of uncertainties!
Some analysts predict that the uncertain election results may even open the door for the Fed to cut interest rates more significantly.
Analyst warning: Inflation will not disappear, FED is unlikely to cut rates significantly, and the US stock market may experience a huge shake-up next year!
①A senior financial strategist stated that the Federal Reserve will not lower interest rates to the very low level as the market believes, and borrowing costs may indeed start to rise from now on; ② He predicts that the stock markets in the USA and globally may decline by 7% to 12%.
Hold your breath! This week, the global will usher in a series of heavyweight events. Where will the financial markets go?
This week, the global market is about to welcome a series of major events.
"New Federal Reserve Communication Agency" latest news: It is almost certain that interest rates will be cut by 25 basis points this week.
Considering the contradiction between strong consumer spending and a slowing job market, coupled with the possibility of the US election reshaping the economic outlook, Federal Reserve officials may face tough debates in the coming months.