It is 2025, and this is the Federal Reserve's latest "hawk-dove distribution", showing significant internal divergence.
According to the updated "dove-hawk distribution" chart, the policy inclination of the voting committee in 2025 is similar to that in 2024, with an average score close to neutral policy. However, in 2025, the score differences among committee members are greater than last year. Analysis suggests that this significant divergence in policy inclination may lead to more disagreements within the 2025 committee, especially in light of the changes in trade and immigration policies following Trump's administration, which could have a major impact on the USA supply chain.
Futu Morning Report | Major new regulations impact AI Chip stocks! NVIDIA and Oracle strongly oppose; Is there a bet that the yield has peaked? Call Bid in U.S. Treasury ETF surges.
Media: NVIDIA's Blackwell chip rack has encountered issues, leading major customers like Microsoft to reduce some Orders; Trump's advisers have proposed a new tariff idea: use the Emergency Economic Powers Act to increase rates by 2-5% monthly; the new US Treasury Secretary's Hold Positions include the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Bitcoin.
Top 20 by transaction amount | ITCI rose over 34%, Johnson & Johnson plans to acquire the company; Semiconductor stocks fell, Micron dropped over 4%, Taiwan Semiconductor dropped over 3%.
On Monday, the trading volume of the US stock market ranked first, NVIDIA closed down 1.97%, with a transaction volume of 26.797 billion dollars; second place Tesla closed up 2.17%, with a transaction volume of 26.066 billion dollars; fifth place Meta Platforms closed down 1.22%, with a transaction volume of 6.476 billion dollars.
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A key factor in the earnings reports season for U.S. stocks: a strong dollar will lead to a "significant divergence" in corporate profits.
Wilson stated that industries oriented toward the domestic market will outperform those that rely on international revenue. Among the S&P 500 constituents, 30% of sales depend on international markets. The overseas market share is largest for household products, Technology Hardware, and CSI SWS Food & Beverage index, while Telecommunication Services and utility industries are the least affected.
U.S. Stock Market Early Session | U.S. stocks continue to be volatile, with technology stocks generally declining, NVIDIA down nearly 3%; Donald Trump concept stocks and some Chinese concept stocks are rising against the trend, DJT up nearly 9%, NetEase u
The rise in USA Treasury yields has led to continued selling of the large Technology stocks that have been leading the bull market over the past year. This week, the market is focusing on the upcoming Earnings Reports from several large Banks.
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The expectation of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve has cooled, can the Earnings Reports season sustain the bull market for U.S. stocks?
As the Federal Reserve is unlikely to cut interest rates as quickly as expected, corporate earnings growth has become more crucial for the performance of US stocks.
US stock outlook | Wall Street begins to discuss the possibility of interest rate hikes! The three major index futures collectively weakened; Intra-Cellular surged nearly 35% in pre-market trading! It will be acquired by Johnson & Johnson for billions.
Tesla fell 3% before the market opened, as the largest Retirement Fund in Europe liquidated its shares; the yield on the 10-year US Treasury is aiming for 5%! The Global bond market is in turmoil.
Top Analyst: There are still 2 years before the Technology stock bubble bursts.
Analysts predict that when NVIDIA and other Hardware stocks start to underperform significantly against investor expectations, the bubble will begin to burst.
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Express News | US tightens its grip on AI chip flows across the globe
The Growth Tech stocks in the U.S. market are experiencing a Top Reversal, how to use Options to seize good entry opportunities?
On one hand, if entering the market too quickly, stock prices may fall unexpectedly, potentially resulting in significant losses; on the other hand, if the "bottom guessing" fails, missing the best timing for positioning may lead to missing the desired price for the stocks. In this situation, the flexible use of several options strategies may help the trade align more with market trends.
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U.S. Stock Market Insights | Delta Air Lines has scored big! Stock prices hit a new high, with performance and outlook both exceeding expectations; a $16.4 billion acquisition of Calpine, Energy giant CEG surged by 25.16%.
The Medical merger and acquisition frenzy has started again! It is rumored that Johnson & Johnson is in talks to acquire the biopharmaceutical company Intra-Cellular Therapies Inc., which focuses on treating central nervous system diseases, and its stock price has soared nearly 15%.
The USA economy continues to be strong, and Goldman Sachs predicts that the dollar will rise by 5% in the coming year.
Goldman Sachs has raised its forecast for the US dollar, citing the strong USA economy, while the tariff policies proposed by the Trump administration may slow down the Federal Reserve's pace of loosening MMF policy.
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