Another "Triple Witching Day" for US stocks! After the interest rate cut frenzy, Wall Street faces a $5.1 trillion test.
The market is at a critical moment of pricing, coinciding with the "Triple Witching" of the U.S. stock market!
Why did the US stock market rebound on Thursday? The hope of a soft landing, the trading characteristics of Powell, and the catalyst of zero-date options.
Unemployment data strengthens confidence in a soft landing; the market's immediate trend after the Federal Reserve announces interest rate cuts is often unstable and irrational; since Powell took office, the stock market usually declines in the last hour of Federal Reserve decision days; market maker funds flow analysis shows that on Thursday, the S&P was supported at 5700 points, driven mainly by zero-date options 0DTE positions.
“Recalibrating” interest rate cuts sparked a frenzy in US stocks, and the Dow broke the 42,000 mark for the first time
The Federal Reserve announced a sharp 50 basis point cut in interest rates in its September interest rate decision, and described this rate cut as triggering a sharp rise in the stock market after a “recalibration” of its monetary policy, while the “recession” dwarfed the “recession.”
Replicating the 'soft landing of reduced interest rates' in 1995, is Powell going to be like Greenspan?
Considering the current economic and interest rate environment and the fundamental differences compared to previous years, if the Federal Reserve also wants to lead the economy to achieve a soft landing, they must accelerate their pace.
Futu Morning Post | US Stock Carnival! Yellen praised the interest rate cut as injecting a “positive sign” into the US economy; Chinese securities have exploded! The general index surged by more than 4%
Yellen praised the interest rate cut as a "positive sign" for the US economy, emphasizing that the primary task is to ensure that the job market "remains strong"; Summers, the former US Treasury Secretary and whistleblower on high inflation, said that the future interest rate cut is expected to be less than the Federal Reserve's forecast.
Three key points to watch in the morning session ~ Buying back activity intensifies before the Bank of Japan's results are revealed ~
The Japanese stock market on the 20th started with a buying streak, but there seems to be a strong sense of deadlock, and the strength of the buying interest on the dips is likely to be recognized. On the 19th, the US market saw the Dow Jones Industrial Average rise by 522 points, and the Nasdaq rise by 440 points. The Federal Reserve Board (FRB) decided to cut interest rates by 0.5% at the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting held until the 18th.
Top 20 turnover | Tesla soared over 7%, with a high target of $310 from Morgan Stanley; Bitcoin rose above $0.062 million, and the holding stock MicroStrategy surged over 9%
On Thursday, Nvidia, ranked first in trading volume in the U.S. stock market, rose by 3.97%, with a trading volume of $34.744 billion. Tesla, ranked second, rose by 7.36%, with a trading volume of $24.69 billion. Apple, ranked third, rose by 3.71%, with a trading volume of $15.249 billion. MicroStrategy, ranked twelfth, rose by 9.04%, with a trading volume of $2.917 billion.
U.S. stocks hit a new high again! Wall Street's highest target: s&p 500 is expected to soar to 6100 points by the end of the year.
S&P, Dow both hit record highs, Wall Street traders bet that the Federal Reserve will achieve a soft landing, and the crazy rise of US stocks is far from over.
Will the volatility come back? Goldman Sachs expects increased risk and recommends buying VIX call options.
According to Goldman Sachs' model estimation, based on the current macro environment, the VIX level should be 24.5, significantly higher than the current level; and over the past 30 years, the VIX has averaged a 6% increase from September to October each year; the US stock market also faces macro/macro catalysts such as the election, Fed meeting, and October earnings season.
US stock market closing: Rate cut bullish delayed effectiveness! Dow Jones and S&P hit new historical highs, China concept stock index rose 4%.
①China concept stocks were up across the board, with the NASDAQ Golden Dragon Index in China rising by 4.15%; ②Nike said Elliott Hill will succeed John Donahoe as the company's CEO; ③FedEx lowered its adjusted full-year EPS outlook; ④Cruise will resume testing of autonomous driving Tobotaxi in California in the fall.
The Federal Reserve's first rate cut in four years, with Bank of America predicting a further 75 basis point cut before the end of the year.
Bank of America Global Research Company said on Wednesday (September 18th) that it is expected that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 75 basis points for the remaining time this year, which is higher than previously estimated. Bank of America also pointed out that the Federal Reserve may further reduce interest rates by 125 basis points by 2025. On the same day, Goldman Sachs predicted that the Federal Reserve would cut interest rates by 25 basis points multiple times until mid-2025.
Is the Federal Reserve starting an interest rate cut cycle on the cusp of a wave, possibly revealing the outcome of the election in advance?
Taking history as a lesson, in an election year with declining interest rates, the probability of the incumbent president or challenger winning is greater.
US stocks pre-market: NASDAQ up more than 2%, S&P 500 index, Dow Jones hit new record highs again; growth tech stocks collectively rise, nvidia, tesla up about 5%.
The Federal Reserve has initiated the long-awaited interest rate cut cycle, announcing a 50 basis point cut. This move will protect the world's largest economy from economic recession, causing a wave of risk appetite in global financial markets on Thursday, driving the stock market, US dollar, gold, and oil prices to rise simultaneously.
5.1 trillion US dollars of options will expire! The "Triple Witching Hour" of US stocks will hit tomorrow night, what impact will it have on the market?
According to derivative analysis company Asym 500 estimates, approximately $5.1 trillion of index, stocks, and ETF options will expire on Friday.
Prominent bear: Powell's self-contradiction, it is not surprising that interest rates will be cut twice by 50 basis points this year.
Prominent economists argue that the Fed's 50 basis point rate cut actually acknowledges that they missed the opportunity to cut rates for the first time in July.
US stock market preview | All three major futures indexes rose, Nasdaq futures rose more than 2%; technology stocks and Chinese concept stocks rose collectively before the market, Alibaba rose more than 4%, Nvidia and Tesla rose more than 3%
Bitcoin surpassed $63,000 today, with pre-market gains in crypto-related stocks. MSTR and MARA rose over 5%; Tesla rose nearly 3% pre-market, with Robotaxi set to debut soon, and bullish views from Wall Street institutions.
The next question is, where is the endpoint of the interest rate cut and how fast will it be?
According to Powell's speech, the neutral interest rate may be raised and will not continue to cut interest rates at a rate of 50 basis points in the future, and economic data is still the main basis. Nick Timiraos said that cutting interest rates too quickly could delay the achievement of the 2% inflation target, while cutting interest rates too slowly could cause the unemployment rate to rise again. It is expected that the next meeting will continue to face similar uncertainty as this one.
Express News | Survey: The significant interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve sets the stage for a soft landing, and US stocks are expected to climb moderately throughout the year.
US stocks mining | The Federal Reserve cuts interest rates more than expected! Multiple real estate-related stocks reach new highs for the year; Accelerate the acquisition plan, US private equity giant KKR rises more than 9% in five days
Soft landing expected to ignite! ai optical communication company Coherent rose nearly 4% on the previous trading day, with a cumulative increase of nearly 90% within the year; ai cloud computing service platform servicenow hit another historical high intraday, with a total annual increase of over 26%.
Daily options tracking | Strong surge of over 38%! Intuitive machine with multiple call options makes over 10 times the profit; Interest rate cut stimulates bullish, emerging markets ETF call options surge to 80%
Apple rose nearly 2% overnight, with options volume increasing by nearly double to 1.318 million contracts compared to the previous trading day. The highest volume was for a call option expiring tomorrow with a strike price of $222.5, totaling 0.13 million contracts. In addition, several call options expiring on Friday saw significant gains, with the most impressive increase exceeding twice the initial investment.