Jinshi Data Global Financial Breakfast | October 21, 2024
Gold continues to be strong, hitting a historic high! Israel claims to have a 'done deal' response to missile attacks from Iran; The central bank officially launches swap convenience operations! Musk mobilizes 'money power' for the USA election... What major events have happened globally from last Friday till now?
A millionaire a day! Musk will randomly give away 1 million dollars every day before the election.
①On Saturday, Musk announced that he will provide a chance to win $1 million daily to registered voters who sign a petition; ②Through the petition, more battleground state voters will register to vote for Trump, and this also provides a large amount of potential voter information for the Republican campaign organization.
One-week lookahead | Earnings season is entering its peak! Tesla's list is coming soon; European and American PMI data is coming, and the People's Bank of China has announced that the new LPR will be lowered in the next period.
This Thursday, the Federal Reserve will make a significant announcement of the Beige Book. Meanwhile, many Fed policymakers will also deliver speeches, which could increase market volatility.
Is the global stock market rising all over the place reassuring? Goldman Sachs' top traders say it's not time for All-in yet, save some ammunition for after the election.
Goldman Sachs hedge fund research director Pasquariello pointed out that the prospects for 9.5 trillion US dollars of money market assets entering the stock market, based on the experience of eight interest rate cut cycles since 1984, show that the Fed's loose monetary policy usually triggers capital inflows into the money market rather than outflows. However, US stock investors should not despair, as Goldman Sachs expects share buybacks for both this year and next year to reach $1 trillion; a steeper preference in the US interest rate curve will strengthen financial stocks.
Top 20 Transaction Volume | Cryptos all rise, MSTR up over 11%, COIN nearly 8%.
Nvidia topped the US stock market turnover on Friday, closing up 0.78% with a turnover of $24.318 billion; Netflix, the second-largest streaming giant, closed sharply up 11.09%, reaching a historical new high in stock price with a turnover of $12.071 billion; Tesla, the third, fell 0.09% with a turnover of $10.964 billion.
US stocks closed | S&P, Dow hit new closing highs, Netflix soared more than 11% after earnings; Chinese concept stocks rose across the board, li auto inc rose more than 6%
1. China concept stocks are up across the board, with the Nasdaq Golden Dragon Index in China rising by 3.03%; 2. The US federal government has started investigating Tesla's FSD; 3. The US Federal Aviation Administration said it will launch a new round of safety reviews on Boeing; 4. Netflix hits a new all-time high, with the company's third-quarter performance and fourth-quarter performance guidance both exceeding market expectations.
Behind the bull market in US stocks, are there still 'undercurrents'? JPMorgan: The rise of the US dollar is a major threat!
①Mike Wilson, Chief Investment Officer at Morgan Stanley, stated that if the US dollar rises again, the bull market in the USA stock market may slow down; ②Due to investors' expectations of a slowdown in the Federal Reserve's easing cycle, the US dollar has already risen by about 2% this month.
The Fed's new indicators give the green light: QT can still move forward!
A monthly indicator released for the first time by the New York Fed shows that the reserves in the bank of america system are still abundant, indicating that the Fed can continue with algo tightening.
US stock morning market | Leading stocks soar! Netflix, Intuitive Surgical hit record highs together; Chinese concept stocks and etfs surge together, YINN jumps more than 12%, ke holdings rises more than 7%
As of press time, the three major indices show differentiated trends, with the Dow Jones falling by 0.45%, the S&P 500 rising by 0.19%, and the Nasdaq rising by 0.66%.
US stock market outlook: Chinese assets collectively rise before the market! YINN surged more than 15%, bilibili rose more than 7%; Goldman Sachs: debt conversion is the first step in China's fiscal big move, which will stimulate economic growth.
Trump claimed to have received a 'plea for help' call from Cook, involving Apple being fined heavily by the European Union; Is there still an 'undercurrent' behind the bull market of US stocks? Goldman Sachs: The rise of the US dollar is a major threat; The gold price continues to hit new highs! As risk aversion heats up, spot gold rises above $2,700.
From the US dollar to US bonds, and then to bitcoin, the 'Trump trade' once again sweeps through the financial markets.
The 'Trump trade' wave closely associated with former President Donald Trump's victory is once again active in the global financial markets.
Daily options tracking | Semiconductors stocks are full of profit potential! Taiwan Semiconductor's performance sets a new high, call options skyrocketed by 400%, nvidia call options accounted for nearly 70%.
Alibaba fell over 2% last night, rebounded over 3% in pre-market trading, and options volume slightly spiked overnight, with the most active call option being the one expiring this Friday with a strike price of $105, with a trading volume and open interest of about 0.02 million contracts each.
Futu Morning Post | The US economy remains strong! Expectations for a Fed rate cut this year suffered another blow; the Dow continues to hit record highs! Taiwan Semiconductor surges nearly 10% after earnings, with a market cap exceeding $1 trillion.
After hours, it rose nearly 5%! Netflix's Q3 revenue and profits both exceed expectations, with unexpectedly more paying users; Insider: Tesla's FSD has not yet been approved for entry into China, Musk has sought to obtain some data.
U.S. stock market closing | The three major indices show mixed performances, with the Dow hitting a new historical high; taiwan semiconductor surges nearly 10%, market cap exceeds one trillion U.S. dollars.
S&P, Nasdaq, and chip stocks all showed significant declines in the afternoon session. S&P set a new intraday high before turning lower, while Nasdaq also approached erasing its 0.9% early gain. However, Dow set new intraday and closing highs for two consecutive days, with Nasdaq briefly rising 0.9% due to the boost from chip stocks. Russell small-cap stocks paused their four-day rally and retreated from near three-year highs. Philadelphia Semiconductor Index rose 2.8% before narrowing its gains to nearly 1%. The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index fell 4% before closing down 3.6%, hitting a three-week low.
Fed Should Not Be in a Hurry to Cut Rates: Stifel's Bannister
On the eve of the USA general election, economic prosperity cannot conceal the weak confidence of the people. Can Harris take advantage to surpass Trump?
As the usa election day approaches, the American economy is showing a prosperity seen rarely in the modern history of any presidential election eve.
US stocks early market | The three major indexes rose together, with the Dow breaking through a historical high in midday trading; Chip stocks rose together, with Taiwan Semiconductor soaring more than 10% after its performance, and Nvidia rising nearly 4
As of the time of publication, the three major indices had divergent trends, with the Dow Jones up 0.22%, the S&P 500 up 0.24%, and the Nasdaq up 0.37%.
US stock market outlook: Retail sales in September exceeded expectations, with the three major futures indices edging up slightly; strong performance! taiwan semiconductor surged more than 9% in pre-market trading, expected to open above $200 to achieve a
Jerome Powell questioned: Overemphasizing 'data dependency' will trigger market volatility; Legendary investor Drew Miller: Banks and cryptos rise together, market 'very confident' Trump will win; IEA, EIA, OPEC are all telling you one thing: next year's oil market outlook is quite bleak.
Cleveland Fed's latest warning: Inflation may still be a 'big issue'!
The latest report from the Cleveland Fed points out that rent inflation may persist, making the Fed's "anti-inflation efforts" potentially more complex...
Bank of America survey: Global stock markets have seen the first sell signal, investors' cash allocation ratio has dropped from 4.2% to 3.9%.
①A survey by Bank of America shows that "going long on Chinese stocks" ranks in the top 3 of the survey conducted by Bank of America this time; ②In the survey, the net proportion of those who expect the Chinese economy to strengthen in the next 12 months reached 48%, the highest level since April 2023; ③ The report also states that since February 2021, global stock markets have seen a sell signal for the first time.