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iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN Newsroom
US stocks early market | Non-farm data does not change the rise of US stocks, with all three major indices collectively surging; growth tech stocks erase yesterday's slump, amazon soars 6% approaching historical highs.
Apple fell by 0.54%, profits were dragged down by a hundred billion in back taxes; Intel rose by 5%, fourth quarter revenue and adjusted earnings per share guidance exceeded expectations.
Express News | usa October ISM Manufacturing PMI was 46.5, lower than market expectations.
Viewpoint | The decline in technology stocks in the usa brings buying opportunities.
Recently, the technology sector has shown weakness, but it has not encountered any major troubles.
Express News | Goldman Sachs: Non-farm data indicates that the Federal Reserve will continue its loose cycle next week.
US stock market outlook: Non-farm data cools significantly! Expectations of interest rate cuts increase for the year; Amazon and Intel performance exceed expectations, easing the downward trend of growth tech stocks yesterday.
Apple's iPhone revenue turned around last quarter, but sales in China were lackluster, dropping nearly 2% pre-market; Buffett has continuously increased his shareholding in Sirius XM, raising his stake to 33%.
Express News | usa non-farm payrolls increased by 0.012 million in October, significantly below expectations.
Every Options Tracking | Nvidia plunged nearly 5% overnight, a put contract made nearly 3 times the profit; bears still hold the upper hand! The 'audit storm' of the super micro computer continues to ferment, multiple put contracts doubled.
Pre-market up over 5%! Intel's Q3 datacenter revenue exceeded expectations, with options volume surging 110% to 0.71 million contracts, implied volatility rising to the highest percentile level within the year. Looking at the options chain, the most active trades are calls expiring on December 20 with strike prices of $25 and $30, both trading over 0.02 million contracts.
Hawkish signals hinting at a pause in interest rate cuts? Tonight's non-farm data may provide the final clue for the Fed's actions next week.
Strong non-farm data will enhance the market's expectation for the Federal Reserve to possibly pause rate cuts early next year.
The Fed may not have gotten what they wanted most, but the PCE data is not enough to change the rate cut outcome this month.
The Federal Reserve may not have received the inflation data it wanted on Thursday, but many economists believe that the new reading of the price indicator most favored by the Federal Reserve may still be sufficient to prompt the Federal Reserve to "cut interest rates by 25 basis points" in a step-by-step manner at its policy meeting next week.
Legendary investor once again sounds the alarm: "AI bubble" will eventually burst, leading to a collapse in the US stock market!
①Legendary investor Grantham believes that ai is a bubble, similar to past technology frenzies; ②he predicts that the US stock market will plummet significantly, but the development of ai will bring long-term transformative effects.
How were major asset classes interpreted during the 2016 election?
CITIC Securities: Recently, there has been a lot of discussion in the market about how global asset classes will evolve if Trump is re-elected. We refer to the market performance when Trump unexpectedly won in 2016 for comparative analysis. Before the 2016 election, the capital markets were dominated by risk aversion sentiment, with gold > USD and US bonds > stocks and agricultural commodities; after the election, risk assets rebounded overall, long-term interest rates continued to rise, the USD index continued its strong trend, while gold experienced a short-term decline.
Election night trading guide: key time points, key focus points, will there be any delays?
Goldman Sachs recently released a research report stating that the market has overestimated the risks of uncertainty caused by delayed election results. Goldman Sachs indicated that the speed of counting votes in this election may accelerate, and it may not be as close as reflected in the polls. The trading in the financial markets may reflect the election results on the evening of the election day or the next morning, with the key results of the county-level elections becoming the focus of the market. Although there may be some fluctuations in the first few hours of the election night, it will soon return to normal levels.
"Trump trade" and dealing with "Trump trade"
Analysis suggests that, in response to potential tariff shocks, it may be appropriate to adjust the exchange rates of the Renminbi to cope, and it is recommended to avoid some heavy asset enterprises. Potential tariffs may lead to a contraction in external demand, prompting a stronger focus on stimulating domestic demand, potentially elevating consumer to an unprecedented level in financial stimulus.
Market Volatility Jumps to Its Highest Level in Nearly Three Weeks
US stock market early trading | Trump's media technology group triggered another circuit breaker during the session, now down 10%; china concept stocks fall, alibaba, pdd holdings down more than 1%
Meta fell nearly 3%, the metaverse division continued to suffer serious losses in the third quarter, raising the full-year capital expenditure guidance; Estee Lauder narrowed its decline to 18%, the company withdrew its 2025 fiscal year outlook and lowered its dividend.
Core PCE annual rate slightly exceeded expectations in September, but does the Fed's interest rate cut expectations remain unchanged for this year?
USA's core PCE annual rate slightly exceeded expectations, initial jobless claims declined, the market still bets that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in November.
The initial jobless claims in the usa last week were 0.216 million, dropping to the lowest level since May.
Last week, the number of people applying for unemployment benefits in the USA dropped to 0.216 million, the lowest level since May. Southeastern states are recovering from the impact of two hurricanes. Economists predict that Federal Reserve officials may ignore the employment report next week and cut rates by 25 basis points.
US Stock Market Outlook | The US core PCE annual rate in September remained unchanged from the previous month, with the three major futures indexes maintaining a downward trend; Increased competition in AI causing market concerns? microsoft, Meta shares f
Bank of Japan Governor: Will not be affected by political turbulence, will continue to raise interest rates if the economic and price outlook is achieved; Bridgewater Associates founder Dalio: Both US presidential candidates are unsettling.
Express News | US Weekly Initial Jobless Claims 216000 Vs 230000 Forecast, Prior 228000
Express News | US Sep. Core PCE Price Index YoY +2.70% Vs +2.60% Forecast, Prior +2.70%