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Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates slower and less after the first post-election Fed decision?
All analysts are expecting the Fed to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, which highly aligns with the pricing in the money markets, with a certainty of 99.8%. However, due to Trump's policies widely seen as potentially inflationary, the market is pricing in less than 50 basis points for the November and December meetings.
The Fed's interest rate cut tonight is without suspense! But there are two issues troubling the market.
The financial markets almost certainly believe that the Federal Reserve will continue to cut interest rates by 25 basis points at tonight's monetary policy meeting. But in a suddenly more complicated context, the focus of the market's attention is on the Fed's future work train of thought.
Daily options recap | Coinbase's call option soared 81 times! "Trump trade" bullish news released; Tesla surged 14%, the highest profit from call options was 7 times.
Nvidia rose 4% last night with large buyers purchasing 0.0856 million units of call options expiring this Friday, involving $43.5051 million; The single-day surge of Coinbase attracted short sellers, with large investors betting over $0.2 billion on a bearish outlook.
Direct hit usa election | Trump officially announced to win the USA election.
The 2024 US presidential election will officially vote on November 5, kicking off a critical battle that will determine the future direction of the United States.
One article understands: How will 'Trump 2.0' affect the prospects of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates?
①Trump's policies may disrupt the economic outlook of the United States, altering the considerations of the Federal Reserve's policies. ②Trump may influence the Federal Reserve by appointing key personnel, such as not reappointing Powell and nominating a vice chairman of supervision, etc.
The election dust has settled! Goldman Sachs lists three main reasons: US stocks are expected to rise by the end of the year.
① Goldman Sachs' Chief Equity Strategist David Kostin's team believes that in the next period, US stocks will continue to rise; ② Kostin has given three reasons, but also warned that a sharp increase in US Treasury yields could disrupt the post-election rebound of US stocks.
The US stock market "exploded" overnight! Wall Street is bullish, s&p 500 is expected to reach 6600 points next year.
Looking ahead, many analysts on Wall Street continue to be bullish on the US stock market, even predicting it could rise to as high as 6600 points.
The crucial issue for the market: the sequence of "Trump 2.0" policies.
Analysis suggests that tariff policies are at the forefront, followed by deregulation which will also be implemented quickly. Tax reduction and industrial policies come later, with high uncertainty in the implementation of immigration policies. In terms of policy implementation difficulty, trade, diplomacy, and environment are lower than tax reduction, with immigration reform posing the greatest difficulty.
Express News | Goldman Sachs maintains a 12-month target of 6300 points for the s&p 500 index.
High tariffs vs. weak dollar: Trump can only choose one?
①The single-day sharp rise of the US dollar, like a towering pillar, may pose a significant problem for Trump, who is currently celebrating his election victory, in terms of how to balance the pros and cons of exchange rate appreciation and depreciation... ②Between a series of Trump's governing principles such as high tariffs and a weak US dollar, Trump can only choose one.
Powell falls into Trump's hands again, how will tomorrow's tough battle be fought?
Powell will need to assure global investors that the Fed can control the impact of Trump's second term and a possible upcoming "Republican sweep".
Did Trump's election victory inspire an IPO boom? Will the market welcome a large-scale wave of listings in 2025?
After Donald Trump won the presidential election, the market responded positively, encouraging companies that were originally on the sidelines to consider listing in the usa as early as next year.
How does Trump's election victory affect global assets?
On election day, former President Trump successfully won almost all swing states, leading Democratic presidential candidate Harris with a significant advantage to win. In the congressional elections, the Republican Party has already won the Senate, and current vote counts also indicate a high probability of winning the House of Representatives, achieving a Republican "sweep."
Year-end rebound has already begun! Trump has completely ignited Wall Street sentiment, various funds will flock to buy US stocks.
Trump's victory in the presidential election caused the stock market to soar, issuing a buy signal for rule-based investment funds, adding momentum to the rise in the stock market.
Futu Morning Post | Trump's trades sweep the market! Three major indices hit historical highs together; with the election settled, Wall Street adjusts down the expectations for Fed rate cuts.
First European Central Bank official to speak out after Trump's victory: closely watching, inflation may face huge impact; mortgage rates soaring along with US bonds, reaching the highest level since early July this year; jefferies financial: the pace of implementation of Trump's policies will dominate the future trend of the US dollar.
US stocks post best performance after election! How did Wall Street 'crazily respond' to Trump's victory last night?
The market is currently more focused on the positive aspects of the Trump agenda, rather than paying too much attention to potential tariffs and broader policy outcomes. The 'animal spirits' are thoroughly ignited.
Transaction volume TOP20 | Tesla, the first place, surged nearly 15%, with a transaction volume exceeding $47 billion; Amazon rose nearly 4%, its stock price reached a new high, with a transaction volume exceeding $34.8 billion.
On Wednesday, Tesla ranked first in trading volume on the US stock market, soaring by 14.75%, with a trading volume of 47.022 billion US dollars. Nvidia, the second place, rose by 4.07%, with a trading volume of 34.871 billion US dollars. Amazon, ranking third, rose by 3.80%, reaching a new all-time high in stock price, with a trading volume of 14.781 billion US dollars.
With Trump in office, what will Powell do? Rate cut or slowdown, the next Fed chairman candidate calls for neutrality in leadership.
The most direct way Trump affects the Federal Reserve is by nominating Fed governors. Over the next four years, he can nominate successors to Powell and Vice Chair Quarles. The media reports that Trump may nominate Hassett, his former chief economic advisor during his presidency, as the next Fed chair. If the Fed's vice chair for financial supervision, Randal Quarles, resigns soon, he may directly influence the Fed's financial supervision, even if he cannot directly affect monetary policy.
Stock Futures Are Little Changed After Major Post-election Rally as Focus Shifts to Fed
Dow Surges Over 1200 Points, Bonds Tumble After Trump Is Elected President -- WSJ