Entering the Christmas month! The Christmas market may continue to drive the U.S. stock market to new highs, with these sectors expected to become the "hottest opportunities"
Historically, in the seven trading days after Christmas, which include the last five trading days of the year and the first two trading days of the next year, investors tend to be more bullish, with a high probability of an uptrend in the U.S. stock market. This seven-day period is known as the 'Santa Claus rally.' Data shows that over the past 70 years, there has been an 80% chance of the S&P 500 index rising during these seven trading days.
US stock market early trading | Nasdaq up nearly 1%! Growth tech and semiconductor stocks are generally rising, taiwan semiconductor, marvell technology up over 4%, super micro computer surged over 12%
On the evening of the 2nd Beijing time, the US stock market opened slightly higher on Monday. As the US stock market enters the last month of the year, the market this week is focused on the US November non-farm payrolls, Trump administration policies, and the Fed's interest rate path.
US Stock Preview | Most china concept stocks are rising in pre-market, miniso surges 16%; Bank of America announces 2025 investment strategy! Bullish on small cap stocks.
Tesla rose 1.8% in pre-market trading, starting to launch the latest version of FSD, V13.2; the small cap drone stock UMAC surged over 21% in pre-market, with Trump's eldest son joining the company's advisory board; the record rise in the US stock market lays the foundation for an increase in December, and market sentiment is optimistic.
BofA Merrill Lynch's Hartnett Outlook 2025: Q1 US Dollar, US stocks, Q2 non-US stocks, gold and commodities for the whole year, US bonds bottoming at 5%.
Hartnett advises to take a chance in 2025, buy 'usa prosperity' in Q1, especially small cap stocks; buy non-US stocks in Q2, betting on Europe/Asia moving towards easing; inflation may rise higher than expected, bullish on csi commodity equity index, US bond yields reaching 5% is a huge opportunity, buy chinese stocks to hedge the AI bubble.
Daily options tracking | Multiple Tesla end-of-the-world call options are nearing a doubling, exposing the latest progress of siasun robot&automation; nvidia states that it is accelerating chip supply, and a big client splurged 9 million dollars on calls.
Two bitcoin ETF options with volume entered the top 20 ETFs, last Friday, BITO options traded 4.0783 million contracts, surpassing QQQ to take second place.
US Stock Nuggets | Black Friday sales are hot with surprises! Shopify and Mastercard hit new highs for the year; receiving strong government subsidies, Rocket Lab surged over 6% last Friday.
In the field of AI, apple is reportedly planning a major overhaul of Siri, with a rise of over 1% in the previous trading day and a cumulative increase of over 3% in the week. The stock price hit a new all-time high again.
Dalio: Trump coming to power will push the global community into a "survival of the fittest" new era!
①Ray Dalio, the founder of Bridgewater Fund, believes that Trump's second term will bring about a significant shift in global order; ②Dalio said that based on Trump's choice of key positions, his team will promote a more selfish and ruthless global order; ③Dalio refers to Trump's team as a 'corporate raiders'-style reform and indicates the end of an era dominated by the USA.
The first year of 'Trump 2.0', goldman sachs and the key disagreement with the market: the Federal Reserve!
Goldman Sachs does not agree with the market's hawkish expectations for the Fed's interest rate cut path next year. On one hand, Goldman Sachs believes that the Trump administration's policies are unlikely to lead to significant inflation that would prevent rate cuts; on the other hand, Goldman Sachs thinks that the market underestimates the significant impact risks that substantial policy changes could have on the financial markets, which could trigger a response similar to the 'insurance-style rate cuts' seen in 2019.
Another relative of Trump has been reemployed! The father of the son-in-law will serve as a senior advisor for Arab and Middle Eastern affairs.
On Sunday, the elected president of the usa, Trump, stated that he would appoint Lebanese-American businessman Massad Blos as his senior advisor for Arab and Middle Eastern affairs; Blos is the father of Trump's youngest son-in-law. This means that Trump’s foreign policy team has added another person with a familial relationship.
Super week is approaching! Will the "Non-Farm Payrolls + Powell" set the tone for the global market by the end of the year?
A series of labor market data, including the crucial November non-farm payroll report released on Friday, will have a significant impact on the Federal Reserve's rate-cutting plans; numerous Federal Reserve officials, including Chairman Powell, will also deliver speeches this week, which will be particularly critical in the context of recent expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut rates soon and then slow down.
The record rise of the US stock market lays the foundation for an increase in December, with Wall Street filled with optimism.
Due to recent outstanding performances and historical trends boosting market sentiment, this year may have even greater upward potential.
Futu Morning Post | S&P hits historic new highs again! It is challenging the strongest annual increase after the millennium; American drone small cap stocks ride on the 'Donald Trump concept', soaring more than 9 times in November.
To add fuel to the December actions, the Governor of the Bank of Japan mentioned that the wage trend is key to raising interest rates; The hottest asset after the US election: the US bitcoin ETF single-month net capital inflow hits a record; It is said that Meta is planning to build a global underwater communication network, with a total investment amount possibly exceeding $10 billion.
U.S. stocks have risen over 20% for two consecutive years, and Trump is "adding fuel to the fire," causing Wall Street to worry: everyone is bullish!
The s&p 500 index has continuously set new highs, with small cap stocks soaring. Analysts believe there are already signs showing that extreme call sentiment is emerging in the market. At the same time, the rising uncertainty about how Trump's plans will impact economic growth, inflation, and the central bank's interest rate path has also increased risks.
Trump's Plans Risk Inflating Bullish Stock Market Into a Bubble
US Markets Cap November With Fresh Records
US stock market morning session | S&P 500 index hits another all-time high! Semiconductor sector surges! ASML Holding, Applied Materials both rise more than 3%; appointing Trump's eldest son as advisor, drone concept stock UMAC soars 40%
Growth tech stocks are strong, with Tesla up nearly 2%, nvidia up 1.4%, AMD up 0.76%; uranium mining stocks collectively rise, UUUU up over 8%.
usa stocks fund crazy attracting 12.78 billion US dollars, continuously receiving inflow for the fourth week.
In the week ending November 27, investors in the usa invested a large amount of money into stocks funds, thanks to the appointment of new officials in Trump's administration and the decline in usa treasury yields, which alleviated concerns about the outlook for growth stocks.
After December, will the Federal Reserve change its interest rate cut pace?
Wall Street economists generally believe that the rapid pace of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve will not continue into 2025, and may instead become a rate cut at every other meeting.
US stock market preview | Technology giant microsoft, google facing 'trouble'? US FTC takes action against antitrust! Cryptocurrency concept stocks rise before the market! MSTR up more than 4%
There is hope that the USA will relax chip control, leading to pre-market gains for chip equipment stocks such as asml holding; UMAC, a small cap drone stock in the USA, rose 32% before the market, appointing Trump's son as an advisor.
Mexican President: Had a friendly conversation with Trump, confident in avoiding a tariff war with the usa.
① The President of Mexico, Sinbloom, stated that a "very friendly" conversation was held with the elected President of the usa, Trump, expressing confidence in avoiding a trade war; ② The two did not discuss tariff issues, but the conversation with Trump reassured her that a confrontational trade war will not be necessary in the future.