The USA's PPI in December was lower than expected, but is the Federal Reserve's mind already made up?
What does PPI data mean for CPI? The Federal Reserve's position on slowing down interest rate cuts is unlikely to change easily.
US stock early market | USA PPI data is below expectations! Market sentiment has improved, stocks related to Chinese concepts, quantum computing, Drones, and Robot Concept all surged, with Richtech Robotics soaring nearly 50%.
On the evening of the 14th Beijing time, the US stock market opened higher on Tuesday. The PPI in the USA for December rose less than expected, indicating a reduction in inflationary pressure. It is reported that the Trump team is considering gradually increasing import taxes to prevent a sudden spike in inflation.
Focus on tomorrow night at 21:30! The first CPI night of this year could be very exciting, comparable to a Federal Reserve decision day!
Against the backdrop of soaring bond yields and a surge in non-farm payrolls, the CPI report is particularly focused on, with the options market betting that the implied volatility of the S&P 500 Index on the day of the data release will reach......
Wall Street bets on violent market fluctuations on the night of the CPI release! Traders are nervously preparing.
Citigroup stated that the S&P 500 Index may fluctuate 1% in either direction on the day the CPI data is released. Some large Banks have adjusted their interest rate cut expectations, with Bank of America even indicating that they now expect the Federal Reserve will not cut rates this year.
US Stock Outlook | The three major index futures have surged in the short term! The USA PPI data was lower than expected; China Concept Stocks are rising in pre-market trading, with XPeng Autos up over 9%.
Tesla's pre-market shares continued to rise over 1%, with Morgan Stanley raising the Target Price to $430 and reiterating it as a top pick; Applied Digital soared over 20% in pre-market trading, with Macquarie investing up to $5 billion to build an AI Datacenter.
Tesla is experiencing high-level fluctuations! The debate between bulls and bears on Wall Street is intensifying. Can the 'autonomous driving and Siasun Robot&Automation story' stimulate a surge in stock prices?
Recently, two events have sparked differing views among major investment banks regarding Tesla, and Wall Street's major investment banks have been in a heated debate over the future direction of Tesla's stock price.
Goldman Sachs 2025 outlook for the US TMT Industry: Besides NVIDIA, there are other companies worth looking forward to!
Goldman Sachs has released its 2025 TMT (Technology, Media, Telecommunications) Industry Outlook Report. The Earnings Reports that Taiwan Semiconductor will announce this Thursday could serve as a positive catalyst.
Is a strong economy becoming a "stumbling block" for the U.S. stock market? The shadow of inflation is looming over Wall Street.
This week's data is likely to intensify Wall Street's concerns...
U.S. stock market opportunities | News of huge mergers brings Bullish sentiment! ITCI soared 34% overnight, and several Medical stocks surged on the news; Oil & Gas prices rose together! The Oil & Gas Sector collectively went up.
A multi-million dollar deal has been signed! The Israeli Ministry of Defense and the defense company Elbit Systems have had a strong start to the year, with overnight stock prices rising nearly 3%, setting new records.
The Federal Reserve is now a 'lame duck.'
For the Federal Reserve, there is currently no compelling reason to move interest rates in either direction.
Daily Options Tracking | Is the "Trump Trade" making a comeback? DJT made a 24-fold profit on a call option; NVIDIA Options trading is experiencing a tug-of-war, with a large investor purchasing nearly 20 million dollars in long-term call options.
Quantum computing stock RGTI dropped over 32% in the previous trading day, with Options Chain Volume slightly rising to 0.37 million contracts, implied volatility soaring to 211%, and the Put ratio at 52.8%. On the Options Chain, the bearish position is the market Block Orders, with the highest volume for the put option set to expire this Friday at a strike price of $6, totaling 0.014 million contracts, and an open interest of 3,700 contracts.
What is the impact of Trump's "gradual" tariff plan on inflation? UBS Group: The Federal Reserve will be in a tricky situation.
Dr. Arend Kapteyn, an executive at UBS Group, stated that Trump's gradual tariff plan will pose challenges for the Federal Reserve as it struggles against inflation; He pointed out that rolling tariffs could lead to a significant rise in peak inflation, making it more difficult for the central bank to respond; Currently, investors are eagerly awaiting the USA's inflation data, which will indicate whether the Federal Reserve will slow its pace of interest rate cuts this year.
Decision Analysis: The global market direction has changed, all because of Trump? The dollar has retreated, awaiting the CPI and Earnings Reports.
On Tuesday (January 14), Asian stock markets showed mixed trends, similar to the trading situation on Wall Street, with recent buy-low efforts standing in contrast to concerns about the Global economic outlook and the potential impact of Trump's second term. The rise of Oil and gas producers helped to offset the impact of declines in the stock prices of NVIDIA and Other large Technology companies.
Bank of America issues an urgent warning: Small Cap stocks are facing a crisis! U.S. Treasury yields are soaring, and risks are rapidly increasing.
The Bank of America research team pointed out that as the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike cycle temporarily pauses, the market's attention and volatility surrounding Small Cap stocks continue to rise.
Goldman Strategist Says 2025 Equity Outlook Is Complicated
It is 2025, and this is the Federal Reserve's latest "hawk-dove distribution", showing significant internal divergence.
According to the updated "dove-hawk distribution" chart, the policy inclination of the voting committee in 2025 is similar to that in 2024, with an average score close to neutral policy. However, in 2025, the score differences among committee members are greater than last year. Analysis suggests that this significant divergence in policy inclination may lead to more disagreements within the 2025 committee, especially in light of the changes in trade and immigration policies following Trump's administration, which could have a major impact on the USA supply chain.
Traders are gearing up for the largest Earnings Reports day in S&P history, with the stock market expected to fluctuate by 4.7% after the results are announced.
Two days before the USA Earnings Reports cycle begins for large Banks, traders are nervously positioning themselves, preparing for one of the most turbulent profit periods in stock market history.
Futu Morning Report | Major new regulations impact AI Chip stocks! NVIDIA and Oracle strongly oppose; Is there a bet that the yield has peaked? Call Bid in U.S. Treasury ETF surges.
Media: NVIDIA's Blackwell chip rack has encountered issues, leading major customers like Microsoft to reduce some Orders; Trump's advisers have proposed a new tariff idea: use the Emergency Economic Powers Act to increase rates by 2-5% monthly; the new US Treasury Secretary's Hold Positions include the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Bitcoin.
Top 20 by transaction amount | ITCI rose over 34%, Johnson & Johnson plans to acquire the company; Semiconductor stocks fell, Micron dropped over 4%, Taiwan Semiconductor dropped over 3%.
On Monday, the trading volume of the US stock market ranked first, NVIDIA closed down 1.97%, with a transaction volume of 26.797 billion dollars; second place Tesla closed up 2.17%, with a transaction volume of 26.066 billion dollars; fifth place Meta Platforms closed down 1.22%, with a transaction volume of 6.476 billion dollars.
Small-cap Stocks Face Heightened Risk With Rate Cuts in Question, Warns BofA