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Treasuries Rebound From Rout With Global Bonds Still Reeling
The volatility in the bond market is easing as the issuance of investment-grade Bonds in the USA welcomes a 'thawing' phase.
On Tuesday, the high-rated CSI Enterprise bond Index market reopened after a brief lull. This was the first Trade since Trump announced the tariff policy, which led to a surge in credit risk premium and triggered the largest single-day decline since 2022.
Trump's imposing tariffs has disrupted the game board, and the central banks of Emerging Markets are caught in a dilemma between Exchange Rates and economic growth.
Emerging Markets are highly sensitive to the sharp divergence in interest rates with the USA, which often leads to a swift outflow of local capital, bringing about political instability and adverse effects on the entire economy.
The risk of economic recession is accumulating, and Pimco is Bullish on Global Bonds bringing stable returns.
As the chances of a recession in the USA rise, Pacific Investment Management Company (Pimco) emphasizes the appeal of Global Bonds as a "source of stable returns."
On Trump's "first day," Emerging Markets faced difficulties, setting several records.
The opening price of the MSCI Emerging Markets Index based on expected PE is 46% lower than the S&P 500 Index, marking the largest gap since Obama's first inauguration in 2009; the average yield of local currency bonds in Emerging Markets is also lower than the yield of USA Treasuries. Analysis indicates that due to USA policy actions, a strong dollar, and high USA interest rates, Emerging Markets stocks are underweighted by investors.
Massive Interest Burden Haunts $29 Trillion Emerging Debt Pile