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Investors have begun to deleverage BofA smells bearish signals from margin debt
Original title: investors have begun to deleverage BofA smells bearish signals from margin debt analysts have found that the Fed is growing its balance sheet at a record pace and bubbles continue to inflate. This paper chooses margin debt as a starting point for research. Margin debt, which refers to the amount of money that individuals and institutions borrow against shares held by them, tracked by the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, has soared to the highest level since the low point of the COVID-19 epidemic in 2020. Margin debt is a simple indicator of stock market leverage, and when leverage is removed, there will be a turning point in the market. Bank of America Corporation analyst
Blockbuster events and data Forecast of the week from August 2 to August 8: focus on July non-farm interest rate resolutions and two major central bank interest rate resolutions
Original title: blockbuster events and data Prospect for the week from August 2 to August 8: focus on July non-farm and two major central bank interest rate resolutions in the week from August 2 to August 8, the RBA and the Bank of England will release interest rate resolutions. In terms of data, the non-farm payrolls data and unemployment rate for July in the United States for a time in January will be released. Other data that need to be watched include China Caixin PMI, EIA, initial request, US manufacturing and non-manufacturing PMI and so on. Key words on Monday: data released jointly by China's PMI, US PMI, China's National Bureau of Statistics and the Federation of Logistics and Purchasing showed that the official manufacturing purchasing managers' index in June.
US inflation may be temporary, but the impact of the sharp drop in disposable income cannot be ignored
The recent surge in US core consumer and producer prices conceals the deep core problems of the economy. Inflation-adjusted disposable income is falling markedly. This has the potential to curb spending and poses a major threat to risky assets, particularly the stock market. Free disposable income hit the lowest level since before the financial crisis began, and the boosting effect of fiscal stimulus was instantaneous. After economic incentives and subsidies end, consumers' ability to boost the economy will be greatly reduced by the end of the third quarter. The June retail sales data released this Friday is likely to send the first signal. As long as the upward trend in inflation continues, whether it is short or not
Decline in US residential sales led to a shortage of market stocks due to buyers' scramble
In the most competitive real estate market in US history, sales began to stagnate. According to Redfin Corp.'s seasonally adjusted data, US real estate transactions fell 1.2% month-on-month in June, the biggest monthly decline since records began in 2012. Inventory reached an all-time low and sold after an average of 14 days of listing, the fastest rate ever recorded. Remote work combined with extremely low mortgage interest rates has attracted a large number of buyers to the American suburbs and cities with affordable housing prices. The median housing price in June rose 25% from the same period last year to a record high of 386,888 US dollars. “We entered the premises
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