UBMAIN Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures(MAR5)
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Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures(MAR5) News
What do new highs in U.S. Treasury bonds and new lows in Chinese bonds mean for Hong Kong stocks?
The combination of "new highs in US bonds and new lows in Chinese bonds" has a neutral or even somewhat negative impact on Hong Kong stocks, and historical experience often reflects this.
Trump has a new development! He nominates several diplomatic envoys, including the owner of the Houston Rockets on the list.
Trump has new developments!
Weekly Preview | The market focuses on the National People's Congress Standing Committee meeting; due to the Christmas holiday, the Hong Kong Stock Exchange will be closed for two and a half days, and the U.S. stock market will be closed for one and a hal
The earnings report season for the US stock market has concluded. Due to the Christmas holiday, there will be no speeches from Federal Reserve officials this week, and the data released will be limited, but attention can be paid to the USA Consumer Confidence Index and initial unemployment claims; on Wednesday, Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda will deliver a speech regarding potential yen intervention measures.
Federal Reserve dovish officials: Inflation has decreased significantly, and a moderate interest rate cut is expected next year.
① The Chicago Federal Reserve Chairman Goolsbee stated on Friday that he slightly lowered his forecast for next year's interest rate cuts but still expects the Federal Reserve to moderately cut rates next year; ② As a dovish official, Goolsbee will replace Cleveland Federal Reserve President Harmack next year and become a new voting member of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC).
Is the Federal Reserve turning hawkish? Morgan Stanley: I have seen this episode!
Morgan Stanley stated that the timing and magnitude of interest rate cuts depend on the implementation progress of the restrictive policies of the new Trump administration. However, the impact of these policies on economic activity may also be delayed. Therefore, while the Federal Reserve is currently hawkish, it may turn dovish later.
The "farce" of the USA government shutdown crisis is over! The Senate has passed a stopgap spending bill.
The bill ensures that the USA federal government continues to receive operational funding, extending the funding period from this Friday night to mid-March next year.
38 Republican "traitors", the USA government nearly faced a shutdown, was Trump's "strong stance" exposed?
Analysis suggests that this event indicates that Trump, who seems to have "consolidated power" and appears politically stable, now faces an uncertain future. Trump's Republican colleagues, 38 Republican representatives in the House, opposed his call to "suspend or eliminate the debt ceiling," which almost led to a government shutdown.
In a last-ditch effort to avoid a government shutdown: The U.S. House of Representatives voted to pass a short-term spending bill, submitting it for a vote in the Senate.
The bill to maintain government short-term spending until March of next year has removed the debt ceiling provisions and will be voted on in the Senate. If a relevant short-term spending bill is not passed by 12:01 AM local time on Saturday, the federal government will partially shut down, forcing hundreds of thousands of federal workers to take leave.
U.S. stocks closed | "Triple Witching Day" saw a major rebound in U.S. stocks! All three major Indexes rose by over 1%; the AI application Concept exploded, with Palantir rising over 8%.
Ed Yardeni, the most accurate Analyst on Wall Street and president of Yardeni Research, is optimistic about the U.S. stock market, predicting that the S&P 500 will reach 7,000 points next year and 8,000 points the year after.
U.S. stock market early session | The three major Indexes opened lower and then rose, with the S&P and Dow Jones turning positive first, Broadcom rebounding over 2%; Quantum Computing concept stocks made a comeback, with Rigetti up nearly 28% and QUBT ris
On the evening of the 20th in Peking time, the largest ever "Triple Witching Day" is approaching, with Options worth 6.6 trillion USD about to expire. The year-on-year increase of the USA's November PCE Index is 2.4%, lower than expected. The government shutdown crisis in the USA has resurfaced.
US Stock Preview | USA PCE data overall underperformed expectations, and the declines in the three major futures indices significantly narrowed; US stocks face another test: the largest "Triple Witching" day in history arrives tonight!
The latest weight loss drug's phase 3 trial results were below expectations, resulting in Novo-Nordisk A/S's shares dropping nearly 20% in Pre-Market Trading; the Trump Media Technology Group's shares fell over 4% in Pre-Market Trading as Trump transferred all his shares to a revocable REITs.
Trump 2.0 is coming soon! Historically speaking, is it possible for the U.S. stock market to welcome a "Gold era"?
As the 45th President of the USA, Trump's economic policy propositions had a profound impact on the financial markets after his victory in the 2016 presidential election. In particular, the S&P 500 Index surged nearly 70%, experiencing significant changes during Trump's tenure as an important indicator of the performance of the US stock market.
This week's US stock market hot stocks | The US version of HAIDILAO exceeds expectations! Darden Restaurants' stock price skyrocketed nearly 15%; Boeing, a component of the Dow, rose 4.36% against the trend this week, receiving a large order for 737 MAX a
This week, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has fallen by 3.39%, closing at 42,342.24 points; during the same period, the S&P 500 Index has decreased by 3.04%, closing at 5,867.08 points; the Nasdaq has dropped by 2.78%, closing at 19,372.77 points.
Daily Options Tracking | The "Triple Witching Day" is heavily upon us today! Micron's earnings report has crashed, and Put options trading is hot, with multiple put contracts earning over 2 times; Bitcoin has dropped below $100,000, and MSTR's Put options
The "mining stocks" MARA fell over 5% overnight, with an Options Chain Volume of 0.436 million contracts, implied volatility rising to 112%, and the proportion of Puts increasing to 28%; on the Options Chain, the top five contracts are all calls, with the highest volume being the $21 expiration option, reaching 0.019 million contracts, and an open interest of 3,700 contracts.
Stagflation Fears and Soaring US Yields: S&P 500's Next Move
Has the Federal Reserve made another mistake? Goldman Sachs: The job market is not optimistic.
Goldman Sachs stated that the steady decline in employment rates over the past year aligns with a significant easing of the labor market in 2024, which is 'not yet stable,' and this may signal an impending downturn in the labor market, or it may have already arrived.
In October, China's holdings of US Treasury bonds hit their lowest level in over 15 years! Is the trend of reducing US Treasury bonds beginning to spread Global?
① On Thursday local time, the USA Treasury released the International Capital Flow Report (TIC) for October 2024; ② The report showed that the amount of US Treasury bonds held by foreign investors ended five consecutive months of growth in October; ③ Led by Japan and China, as many as seven of the top ten "creditors" of the USA chose to reduce their Shareholding that month. Meanwhile, China's US Treasury Hold Positions further hit a new low since 2009.
Only two interest rate cuts are expected next year? Wall Street: The Federal Reserve will change its stance, and the current sell-off is a good opportunity to buy at the bottom!
① The Federal Reserve announced a "triple rate cut" on Wednesday, but predicts only two rate cuts next year, which is lower than the previously expected four. ② Wall Street Analysts view Wednesday's sell-off as a "buy on dips" opportunity, believing that the strong reaction to the Federal Reserve meeting is unlikely to disrupt this year's "Santa Claus" rally.
The largest "Triple Witching Day" of the year is coming! Wall Street is experiencing one wave after another.
This Friday, the size of the Options maturing will reach about 6.5 trillion dollars, which ranks among the highest in history, and it coincides with the Index adjustment again.
The expansion of the hawkish camp makes it increasingly difficult for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in 2025.
Next year, the number of hawkish voters on the Federal Reserve may increase to at least three, potentially raising the risk of dissent.